TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Bulls, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,308,554
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,326,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,308,554 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,035 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Bulls49c142,947$69,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,481.451,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Hawks34c105,000$35,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,524.9738248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Bulls39c72,653$28,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,318.3151844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Bulls40c63,558$25,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,045.3748343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Hawks78c50,000$39,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,999.9822457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Bulls12c46,058$5,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,472.2825925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hawks74c42,060$31,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,292.635,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Hawks61c41,700$25,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,502.562,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hawks58c24,484$14,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,200.671,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Bulls42c20,381$8,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,820.955947.5%28 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc153…6c8bbacked Bulls39c19,000$7,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,589.921376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls37c18,479$6,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,640.673,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8abb…938fbacked Hawks61c18,000$10,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,98010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae8…fcc7backed Bulls40c18,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,8001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks60c17,501$10,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,500.61,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161e…6ef0backed Bulls77c16,826$12,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,908.475664.3%36 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls42c16,738$6,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,774.12,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Hawks65c16,101$10,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,405.7244654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Hawks58c14,980$8,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,688.3319048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Bulls30c13,333$3,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,371.3934062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks61c13,000$7,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,9704,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks45c12,740$5,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,710.842,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bulls17c12,130$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,125.311,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bulls53c10,985$5,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,108.672,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Bulls41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,900.0318045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Hawks61c10,000$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1009451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadc2…00c7backed Bulls24c10,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,549.98560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+79.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Hawks61c9,992$6,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,09513063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks59c8,450$4,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,986.39,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1692…831fbacked Bulls33c7,867$2,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,259.76051.7%31 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Hawks61c6,906$4,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,182.8744459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Hawks2c6,811$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2164517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd21…0e0ebacked Hawks60c6,197$3,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,718.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44fc…0df7backed Bulls40c6,183$2,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,709.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hawks46c6,015$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,750.172,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Bulls47c5,894$2,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,108.4183039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Bulls42c5,772$2,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,348.0241954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hawks61c5,768$3,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,497.382,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Bulls42c5,602$2,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,249.262070%14 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Hawks60c5,481$3,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,288.623348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bulls26c5,473$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,072.911,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bulls31c5,013$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,466.531,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Bulls42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90014244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Hawks2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2c…097cbacked Hawks60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003177.4%24 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Bulls13c5,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3602646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Hawks51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55013625.7%35 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b40…d85ebacked Bulls15c5,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,249.985832.8%19 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bulls38c4,999$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.681,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks69c4,792$3,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,292.864,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…5e40backed Hawks2c4,657$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.212128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Hawks59c4,610$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,719.99855.1%54 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Bulls15c4,449$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,781.571,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Bulls39c4,422$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,697.748944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Hawks61c4,390$2,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,663.1562351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbee6…25f7backed Hawks60c4,200$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5201450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Hawks61c4,035$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,461.3517141.5%71 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Bulls62c4,000$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.5726637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Hawks59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.9218142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0305…093abacked Bulls25c3,760$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,804.57450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+60.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Bulls40c3,755$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.5822449.1%110 W · 114 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Hawks61c3,690$2,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,251.9730947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Hawks76c3,664$2,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,794.8952460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Bulls41c3,429$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.5285344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bd6…918ebacked Bulls9c3,262$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,962.026811.8%8 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb78…5206backed Hawks20c3,075$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Hawks60c3,059$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.662347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Hawks61c3,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,83047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bulls26c2,833$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.1781529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Bulls23c2,761$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,137.7434227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bulls20c2,692$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.851,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks59c2,646$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.351,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Hawks61c2,610$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59230157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks61c2,548$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.036,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Bulls40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50062652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca1…b6a8backed Hawks62c2,300$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.191118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-52.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Hawks60c2,211$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.7722637.2%84 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x708d…8a09backed Bulls21c2,200$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.9821923.7%52 W · 167 L+0.5wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Bulls24c2,193$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.650838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec0…f7aabacked Bulls41c2,109$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.4514254.9%78 W · 64 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Hawks60c2,102$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.4126544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls23c2,050$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.778,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Bulls49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8250347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Hawks60c2,007$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20424151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Hawks61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22020048%96 W · 104 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Bulls40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20024831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Bulls39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22035235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Hawks59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.9675347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Bulls30c1,913$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.516130.4%49 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Bulls19c1,900$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53011839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Bulls42c1,820$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.7112541.6%52 W · 73 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Bulls38c1,813$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.8933139.3%130 W · 201 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Hawks61c1,766$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07021355.9%119 W · 94 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Hawks1c1,750$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bulls62c1,717$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.245,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Hawks60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010541%43 W · 62 L-11.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x12c3…a470backed Hawks3c1,614$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.576631.8%21 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hawks59c1,608$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.0172450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Bulls13c1,576$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.4316439.6%65 W · 99 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hawks1c1,554$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.541,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.