NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 253.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x928a57410e2a365f785cecb0d2a385a330d150f7561237b722c4a5b66dab82ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 7,931$3,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 45c | 5,960$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,681.86 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Over | 48c | 4,212$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.74 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under | 51c | 4,149$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.1 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…15fabacked Over | 49c | 4,109$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 3,214$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.63 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 2,043$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.78 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x185c…fa2fbacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…7e7fbacked Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 1,348$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.52 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…b6dfbacked Over | 52c | 1,212$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 1,096$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.1 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 50c | 996.08$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.08 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 841.79$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.59 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Over | 56c | 812.08$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.68 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 55c | 737.85$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.85 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 46c | 718$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.46 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 639.74$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.28 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 631.06$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.18 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Under | 55c | 542.73$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.23 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f02…abe0backed Over | 51c | 388.43$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 342.96$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.83 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 295$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Over | 51c | 278.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.28 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…093cbacked Under | 50c | 262$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 45c | 237$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.32 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 55c | 221.66$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.89 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Under | 52c | 217.78$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.53 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 50c | 194.14$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.15 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 192.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 8c | 161$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d6…d445backed Under | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9866…4712backed Over | 51c | 137$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 50c | 86.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Under | 48c | 79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…3f14backed Under | 50c | 76.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 51c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 51c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Over | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…520cbacked Under | 50c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ab…70cdbacked Under | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cd…640cbacked Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…2a50backed Under | 51c | 62.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Under | 51c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -12.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Under | 51c | 60.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 49c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…30f7backed Under | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Under | 50c | 54.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Over | 46c | 54.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 52c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 52c | 53.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 50c | 43.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7590…d6e0backed Under | 49c | 36.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…7c78backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 253.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
- Bulls vs. HawksBulls won
- Bulls vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Bulls vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 250.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 251.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 252.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 254.5Under won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.