NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 254.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39de557d7515e62c3cadb6ddae050112b14aa6802e0e708c32606a5dc28dadbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Under | 52c | 19,341$10,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,193.32 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 8,286$3,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,986.14 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 47c | 6,641$3,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.23 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 48c | 2,388$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.39 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 2,195$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 50c | 1,986$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.04 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Under | 51c | 1,571$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.66 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 1,438$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.11 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Over | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 49c | 876.36$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.42 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Over | 50c | 648.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.31 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 49c | 622$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Over | 51c | 602.55$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.58 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 48c | 582.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.84 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 46c | 462.25$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.34 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 435.71$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.24 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 51c | 348.98$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.12 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Under | 49c | 325.4$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 58c | 300.52$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed Under | 61c | 229.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 49c | 220.34$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.34 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Over | 49c | 219.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Under | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 52c | 192.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 157.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 43c | 138.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…de63backed Under | 53c | 132$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Under | 53c | 100.95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd9…fe8dbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9a…5ecebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 463 | 48.4%224 W · 239 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Under | 52c | 94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 78.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 37c | 77.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 76.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Under | 51c | 76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…fc1abacked Over | 48c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 53c | 68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d46…fa33backed Over | 50c | 66.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 53c | 66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…8e4fbacked Over | 45c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec2…e905backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa8…2e0dbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca70…6259backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8830…2abfbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 40c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…19debacked Under | 50c | 29.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…d3bebacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Over | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 51c | 23.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…b09ebacked Under | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79d6…d2e2backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…807ebacked Over | 70c | 18.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe665…eefabacked Under | 56c | 17.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 254.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
- Bulls vs. HawksBulls won
- Bulls vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Bulls vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 250.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 251.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 252.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 253.5Under won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.