TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ec2…e905

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-60.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$203.5
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$10.17
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+29.9%+$46
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$177.5
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$152
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$42
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+117.4%+$19.38
Bucks vs. Pacers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 254.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Trail Blazers vs. Thunderbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20.8
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$80.78
Qatar Total Open: Tereza Valentova vs Karolina Muchovabacked Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Qatar Total Open: Diana Shnaider vs Alycia Parksbacked Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$141.61
Transylvania Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Daria Snigurbacked Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$71.4
Open Sud de France: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$45
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Alexandra Eala vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+37%+$37.53
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+127.3%+$28
Rolex Paris Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.89
Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Jiri Leheckabacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$40.23
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.39
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Novak Djokovicbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Wuhan Tennis Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Holger Runebacked Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+53.4%+$6.4
Wuhan Tennis Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Karolina Muchovabacked Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-36.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+50.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+152.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25%+$7.21
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.37
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$35.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$62.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+26.6%+$71.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25%+$30.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group B - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.