South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb09748eea9b4976292a0a8d76fe6b41d0f43e90b0e3c72bb1a722d2b1f1711b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 20,043$4,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,617.39 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 14,621$11,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,204.58 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 7,226$5,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.99 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 6,113$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.3 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 2,134$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.34 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 78c | 999.64$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.16 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 23c | 916.3$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.16 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9f…ba36backed Yes | 25c | 876.28$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 22c | 700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 2c | 563.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 77c | 504.91$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.43 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 75c | 440.68$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.97 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 22c | 427.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 77c | 372.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb0…4cd4backed Yes | 21c | 350$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec2…e905backed No | 79c | 340$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 77c | 324.31$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 7c | 292.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 78c | 266.65$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 22c | 230$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 24c | 167.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 156.45$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 10c | 104.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 72c | 85.27$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a64…dd0bbacked Yes | 25c | 60.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 78c | 42.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 38.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked No | 79c | 37.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 74c | 33.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 79c | 26.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99df…b59abacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949d…374cbacked No | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc842…21ebbacked No | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will CF América vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?No won
- Will CF América win on 2026-02-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.