South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF América win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4220592b6576d965e87d18c2f4250d3caee46e488de2665d46b3d207a7e77739
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 52c | 3,857$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.12 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 54c | 2,658$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.81 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9f…ba36backed Yes | 53c | 1,362$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 1,352$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.84 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7e…8a0fbacked No | 49c | 776.76$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 47c | 681.1$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.12 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked No | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x998d…7c1ebacked No | 46c | 558.7$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 557.22$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.49 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 494.81$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.51 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 473.78$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.08 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 15c | 352.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 47c | 268.04$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 43c | 232.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.67 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 49c | 200.45$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…8529backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670b…2c75backed Yes | 44c | 183.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 125.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded2…42e0backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 45c | 114.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 48c | 114.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 49c | 114$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 47c | 111.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed No | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…8d33backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 70c | 91.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed No | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…8e64backed Yes | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 49c | 73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 24c | 71.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e6…11afbacked Yes | 52c | 69.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 51c | 67.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 49c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 44c | 50.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 46c | 45.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…8c61backed No | 51c | 36.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed No | 56c | 35.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a9…c3fdbacked Yes | 50c | 35.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 60c | 34.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 40c | 33.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e8…ba12backed Yes | 50c | 31.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…f214backed No | 51c | 31.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a66…b08abacked Yes | 50c | 30.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef4…4d46backed Yes | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f0…8370backed No | 51c | 28.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…bc58backed No | 51c | 28.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed No | 58c | 28.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5be…f2dbbacked No | 51c | 27.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…5c26backed No | 51c | 27.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…3468backed Yes | 50c | 27.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 51c | 27.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Yes | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8e…c44abacked Yes | 50c | 26.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Yes | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e4c3backed Yes | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Yes | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked No | 50c | 23.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…f8c4backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF América win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will CF América vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?No won
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.