Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Paris Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Jannik Sinner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a7cdbb33f589023f6b7eb8fd2f514f9cdb1356dc1e9283520ef9e7feb64e6fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnerof Bergs, Sinner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Bergs | 4c | 15,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3d…3b84backed Bergs | 6c | 6,734$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Bergs | 5c | 6,079$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.75 | 248 | 41.5%103 W · 145 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1317…c274backed Bergs | 6c | 5,314$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Bergs | 7c | 4,558$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Bergs | 7c | 4,365$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c84…d048backed Bergs | 4c | 3,465$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Bergs | 1c | 3,430$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…7ef5backed Bergs | 4c | 3,172$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Bergs | 5c | 2,621$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.58 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Bergs | 5c | 2,466$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.42 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Bergs | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Bergs | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb82…69adbacked Bergs | 5c | 1,954$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Bergs | 4c | 1,400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Bergs | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17c8…b9f7backed Bergs | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec2…e905backed Bergs | 6c | 1,078$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Bergs | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bergs | 4c | 891.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa776…a17bbacked Bergs | 2c | 853.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf5…e611backed Bergs | 6c | 813.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bergs | 4c | 797.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Bergs | 4c | 704.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 16.7%18 W · 90 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95a4…e01dbacked Bergs | 4c | 662.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Bergs | 3c | 645$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2475…5f8cbacked Bergs | 2c | 620.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Bergs | 7c | 580.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a5…4540backed Bergs | 3c | 553.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd01…d5acbacked Bergs | 11c | 532.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Bergs | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…f711backed Bergs | 4c | 289$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Bergs | 4c | 271.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6f…9b0bbacked Bergs | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae9…1f88backed Bergs | 6c | 244.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Bergs | 6c | 202.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Bergs | 6c | 199.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…f975backed Bergs | 10c | 197.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Bergs | 7c | 155.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.