TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1b6f…9b0b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
21
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 51 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 51 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-11.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Open de Moselle: Corentin Moutet vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+300%+$30
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinezbacked Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Rolex Paris Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Novak Djokovicbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Valentin Royerbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Holger Runebacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
US Open: Tristan Boyer vs Andrey Rublevbacked Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
US Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs David Goffinbacked Goffin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
US Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+300%+$30
US Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+300%+$30
ATP Cincinnati - Atmane vs. Rune backed Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+300%+$30
ATP Cincinnati - Comesana vs. Rublev backed Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Wimbledon: Nakashima vs. Opelkabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Wimbledon: Rublev vs. Harrisbacked Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Wimbledon: Draper vs. Baez backed Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.