Tennis · resolved market
ATP Cincinnati - Comesana vs. Rublev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7f1ba96d3ed0a1857b5fc190722736e36ab1b79bac10af72eeade422ba8685d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rublevof Comesana, Rublev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Comesana | 21c | 115,406$24,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,127.23 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Rublev | 79c | 94,151$74,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,771.65 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rublev | 79c | 2,950$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.72 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Comesana | 6c | 1,760$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Rublev | 79c | 1,293$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.62 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Comesana | 21c | 1,200$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Comesana | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Comesana | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Comesana | 11c | 891.34$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.05 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Rublev | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Comesana | 20c | 663$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.77 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rublev | 79c | 578.52$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.16 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Comesana | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Comesana | 20c | 498$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Comesana | 21c | 473.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Comesana | 21c | 396.21$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Comesana | 20c | 299.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Comesana | 19c | 294.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…0ab9backed Rublev | 79c | 235.47$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Comesana | 8c | 204.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…60e0backed Comesana | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Comesana | 22c | 159.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Comesana | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Rublev | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Comesana | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Comesana | 17c | 92.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Comesana | 21c | 86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Comesana | 21c | 57.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6f…9b0bbacked Comesana | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rublev | 79c | 39.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…5314backed Rublev | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.