Tennis · resolved market
Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9120a9f5f93e1746d822dd3c8554d88bf9a53216f10007e363acb78406bf0ac1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gironof Giron, Martinez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Giron | 80c | 6,126$4,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Martinez | 22c | 5,648$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.2 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Giron | 77c | 2,905$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Martinez | 24c | 2,125$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.74 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Martinez | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Giron | 76c | 1,885$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.32 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Giron | 76c | 1,738$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.17 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Martinez | 10c | 1,700$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe65…cbefbacked Giron | 78c | 1,600$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Martinez | 2c | 1,600$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeec9…1675backed Giron | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98bf…68bdbacked Martinez | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…ffe5backed Martinez | 22c | 1,400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Martinez | 20c | 1,220$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.13 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392f…4d67backed Martinez | 22c | 1,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Martinez | 21c | 1,180$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.94 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Giron | 76c | 1,126$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.94 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee2…8ff2backed Martinez | 24c | 1,060$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…0dbebacked Giron | 76c | 1,051$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef1…ca38backed Giron | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Giron | 76c | 930.66$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.66 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Martinez | 25c | 800.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77dd…926dbacked Martinez | 26c | 770.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Martinez | 7c | 749.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…e02abacked Martinez | 28c | 692.57$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.92 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Martinez | 20c | 504.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…cf0bbacked Martinez | 7c | 410$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d7…36fbbacked Martinez | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…4aa1backed Martinez | 13c | 256.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Martinez | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Giron | 78c | 232.19$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 264 | 62.1%164 W · 100 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Martinez | 21c | 225$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Giron | 77c | 167.92$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…7d37backed Martinez | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…a062backed Martinez | 27c | 148.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Martinez | 21c | 132.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Giron | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…da96backed Martinez | 24c | 112.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Martinez | 23c | 111$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Martinez | 20c | 101.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Martinez | 27c | 101.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…20bebacked Martinez | 23c | 100.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a39…9e71backed Giron | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Martinez | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…fa93backed Giron | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…962abacked Martinez | 23c | 99.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Martinez | 23c | 99.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Martinez | 18c | 97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Giron | 78c | 76.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd548…e622backed Giron | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked Giron | 79c | 53.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Giron | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x647d…3cd9backed Giron | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6f…9b0bbacked Martinez | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b27…0a09backed Giron | 79c | 35.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd508…2239backed Giron | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60a…276bbacked Giron | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +175.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…5219backed Giron | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Giron | 77c | 21.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Giron | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…53fbbacked Giron | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.