TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf1d7…36fb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2520%5 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$113.14
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+254.1%+$681.79
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Jazz vs. Knicksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Jazz vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$222.24
Celtics vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Heat vs. Clippersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+210.1%+$840.34
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+250.9%+$1,000.75
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Pistons vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Jazz vs. Celticsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+400%+$200
Wizards vs. Knicksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Timberwolves vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$110.88
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$80.66
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+297.1%+$35.05
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$72.63
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Open de Moselle: Corentin Moutet vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+598.9%+$718.63
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinezbacked Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Open de Moselle: Francesco Passaro vs Alexander Blockxbacked Passaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$101
Hellenic Championship: Mackenzie McDonald vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$146.17
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+177.8%+$88.89
All 9 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.