TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hellenic Championship: Mackenzie McDonald vs Tomas Etcheverry

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Etcheverryof McDonald, Etcheverry
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$315,875
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$374,558

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,875 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ba6…0f07backed McDonald46c25,000$11,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,583.4466949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Etcheverry54c22,499$12,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,349.547857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed McDonald46c16,793$7,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,724.934944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb6…da3ebacked McDonald47c15,567$7,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,316.692420.8%5 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Etcheverry40c8,185$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,935.157152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Etcheverry53c7,550$4,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,548.52119%4 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-59.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Etcheverry55c6,017$3,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.0424544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Etcheverry55c5,791$3,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.0765647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85ca…2a7ebacked McDonald46c3,650$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd77e…80c6backed Etcheverry54c3,608$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.68540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Etcheverry46c3,236$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.613857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32a1…9464backed McDonald46c3,200$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6659…6076backed Etcheverry54c3,108$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.68771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+56.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked McDonald47c2,982$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.0711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98ca…1350backed Etcheverry54c2,800$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked McDonald30c2,764$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.892,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…ac2fbacked McDonald46c2,700$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4324…174bbacked Etcheverry54c2,612$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.52650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f7…0729backed McDonald47c2,600$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed McDonald40c2,592$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.818562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed McDonald46c2,510$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.49546.3%44 W · 51 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a95…4e96backed Etcheverry53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8349…d45ebacked McDonald46c2,420$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Etcheverry56c2,279$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.36,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked McDonald52c2,125$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.599257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6f5…cc4abacked Etcheverry53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb0c…122dbacked Etcheverry53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9403100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+125.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc46c…7ffcbacked McDonald46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+61.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Etcheverry50c1,921$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.422,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc16…8ff3backed Etcheverry53c1,900$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x132b…aaa4backed McDonald47c1,900$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-52.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e84…52c8backed McDonald45c1,900$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.9950%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked McDonald46c1,848$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.027147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed McDonald52c1,778$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.518663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Etcheverry31c1,613$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.98530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Etcheverry55c1,600$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72024558.8%144 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed McDonald65c1,550$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Etcheverry50c1,508$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.041,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e81…a854backed McDonald63c1,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Etcheverry53c1,392$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.27944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x090c…4240backed Etcheverry53c1,389$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+51.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9be4…1299backed Etcheverry53c1,381$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.07475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+51.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb499…e0c3backed McDonald47c1,360$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-52.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed McDonald54c1,310$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.3943948.5%213 W · 226 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa98f…7ba8backed Etcheverry54c1,200$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+66.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Etcheverry53c1,200$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.9959151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7915…f32fbacked Etcheverry43c1,164$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.121275%9 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+33.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Etcheverry34c1,156$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.8828952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d7…36fbbacked McDonald13c1,145$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.17933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Etcheverry53c1,132$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.041070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa53f…101cbacked Etcheverry53c1,125$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.75650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a44…6da3backed McDonald46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked McDonald46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.572,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6f7…254bbacked McDonald47c1,044$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.68633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed McDonald48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x961d…3f6ebacked Etcheverry53c1,041$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.27666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+7.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe93…13b5backed Etcheverry53c1,008$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84c0…c6f4backed Etcheverry53c1,002$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.944100%4 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+173.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc8da…e591backed Etcheverry53c1,002$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.946100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick54cpaid+114.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc631…9655backed McDonald5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce46…de22backed McDonald47c966$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.02616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Etcheverry54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.935448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe65…cbefbacked McDonald46c920$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Etcheverry53c910.93$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.141,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcef1…ca38backed Etcheverry54c900$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4145100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeec9…1675backed McDonald47c900$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+47.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Etcheverry59c878.38$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.378,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98bf…68bdbacked Etcheverry53c860$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1018…ffe5backed McDonald46c860$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x392f…4d67backed Etcheverry54c830$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked McDonald46c821.64$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.9525722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Etcheverry48c806$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.123855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdda2…1cc2backed McDonald47c806$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3764…e02abacked McDonald47c745$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x992e…bb05backed McDonald47c744.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.15450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+61%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x793c…4421backed McDonald67c714.49$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.861353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd0f…7f89backed Etcheverry53c710$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+51.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0814…6de2backed McDonald47c695$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.6530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb56…e8fabacked McDonald47c694$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+51.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0e…5b17backed McDonald74c678.37$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.71346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f12…01c2backed McDonald47c650$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+61%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9d…5eb1backed Etcheverry39c650$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.54955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x200e…7d37backed Etcheverry53c645$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.265040%20 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eeb…5874backed McDonald47c636$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.92425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Etcheverry47c634.99$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.8922641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Etcheverry48c603.62$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.0810456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Etcheverry34c600$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39651933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbee2…8ff2backed Etcheverry53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bb2…6b94backed Etcheverry34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.247041.4%29 W · 41 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x278f…0dbebacked McDonald47c560$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+47.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Etcheverry66c537.76$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9365242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcae9…a216backed Etcheverry38c520.01$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.81742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88f4…3458backed McDonald46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick62cpaid-60.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e2c…94c5backed McDonald70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed McDonald54c463.66$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.8724637.4%92 W · 154 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Etcheverry51c460.8$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7962742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Etcheverry54c455.56$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.5622744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked McDonald51c453.9$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23018250%91 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Etcheverry48c444.76$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.7628139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed McDonald47c424.8$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2618241.8%76 W · 106 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.