TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7fb6…da3e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
28
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST2420.8%5 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open de Moselle: Vitaliy Sachko vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,028Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+26%+$267.01
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$296.82
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$516.28
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$3,068.71
Open de Moselle: Hugo Gaston vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$385
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Alexander Blockxbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$238.74
Open de Moselle: Learner Tien vs Moez Echarguibacked Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$110.8
Open de Moselle: Arthur Cazaux vs Cameron Norriebacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$73.56
Open de Moselle: Francesco Passaro vs Alexander Blockxbacked Passaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,594Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$3,594.24
Hellenic Championship: Mackenzie McDonald vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,317Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$7,316.69
Open de Moselle: Jan Choinski vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$125.64
Hellenic Championship: Eliot Spizzirri vs Laslo Djerebacked Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$512.62
Hellenic Championship: Damir Dzumhur vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$292.71
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$887Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$886.6
Rolex Paris Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$427.51
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Alex de Minaurbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$565.19
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,897Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,897.48
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.4
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,009Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+87.6%+$883.78
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,487Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$1,168.2
Rolex Paris Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Bublikbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,945Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,944.94
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.67
Rolex Paris Masters: Grigor Dimitrov vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+37%+$27.01
Rolex Paris Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+1,900%+$1,188.45
All 24 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+2,677.8%+$16,610.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,833Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$3,832.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Bruinsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.