Tennis · resolved market
Open de Moselle: Learner Tien vs Moez Echargui
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8096cab0de15786cc2ed41a6aea90025115bb3895954a6a984bc7c7d235eaf00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tienof Tien, Echargui
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Echargui | 5c | 13,236$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.27 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe96a…f53bbacked Echargui | 8c | 5,135$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Echargui | 1c | 4,282$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Echargui | 9c | 2,999$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.89 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Echargui | 6c | 2,553$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.33 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Echargui | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed Echargui | 8c | 1,762$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Echargui | 17c | 1,678$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.52 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Echargui | 2c | 1,514$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b85…e867backed Echargui | 8c | 1,400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb6…da3ebacked Echargui | 8c | 1,385$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Echargui | 7c | 1,370$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57dd…6ab4backed Echargui | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Echargui | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Echargui | 5c | 915.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…6549backed Echargui | 12c | 868.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Echargui | 3c | 799.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb2…6b94backed Echargui | 7c | 757.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Echargui | 12c | 573.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…37f8backed Echargui | 6c | 485.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc276…c2d9backed Echargui | 3c | 373.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a6…0b99backed Echargui | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9f…4cc8backed Echargui | 10c | 291.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Echargui | 9c | 221.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…7ac0backed Echargui | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x728f…b55dbacked Echargui | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Echargui | 10c | 183.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Echargui | 13c | 180.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…faabbacked Echargui | 8c | 177.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Echargui | 6c | 174.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Echargui | 8c | 139.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Echargui | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa207…bcdcbacked Echargui | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.