TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Alex de Minaur

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Minaurof Khachanov, Minaur
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,550
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,550 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6ee…697bbacked Minaur58c20,761$12,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,720.345064%32 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Khachanov38c16,244$6,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,172.811,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Minaur62c16,129$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,129.035448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Khachanov42c10,122$4,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,211.254930.6%15 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Minaur59c8,714$5,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,572.73857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Khachanov42c5,511$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300.031,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Khachanov13c5,165$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.228,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Khachanov42c4,762$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008142%34 W · 47 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Minaur59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,64044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Khachanov41c3,505$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.257342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Khachanov41c3,500$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.9917850.6%90 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7355…9443backed Khachanov44c3,396$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x685f…c82fbacked Khachanov42c2,800$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-54.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Khachanov41c2,548$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.713548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6865…b323backed Khachanov42c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Minaur56c2,500$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.496035%21 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Minaur58c2,450$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.9920653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…7713backed Minaur58c2,300$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba0e…995cbacked Minaur58c2,200$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x830b…acc2backed Khachanov42c2,200$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Khachanov41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8209245.7%42 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d7c…832dbacked Khachanov42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+46.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Khachanov42c1,995$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.8213935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Khachanov18c1,888$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.32,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e7…c5c9backed Minaur58c1,800$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Khachanov42c1,786$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5f9…dfd7backed Minaur58c1,748$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f26…724ebacked Minaur58c1,725$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea3f…53d7backed Minaur58c1,721$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1190…2a70backed Khachanov41c1,702$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba3…c720backed Minaur59c1,699$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Khachanov30c1,684$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fc7…0456backed Minaur58c1,600$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+79.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xffaa…7fd4backed Khachanov41c1,499$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.584628.3%13 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Khachanov42c1,400$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.0944125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdb5…44bdbacked Minaur74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb6…da3ebacked Khachanov42c1,346$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.192420.8%5 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Khachanov42c1,325$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.221,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Khachanov12c1,272$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010036%36 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Minaur59c1,219$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.589961.6%61 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76d5…1210backed Minaur58c1,200$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+79.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Khachanov17c1,147$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20059151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50a3…aebabacked Minaur58c1,061$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.62666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Minaur58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42011852.5%62 W · 56 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e18…6e94backed Khachanov42c936$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd84a…a882backed Khachanov42c932$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.44714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-66.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5841…c655backed Minaur58c912$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.04683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+40.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc80d…dc0fbacked Minaur58c896$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.32742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb26a…48dabacked Khachanov41c890$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.91643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc92b…895cbacked Khachanov42c877$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.34742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…0fb5backed Khachanov42c872$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.24728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce8…f458backed Khachanov42c871$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.82742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d09…60bebacked Khachanov42c865$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b6a…fe0dbacked Khachanov42c863$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.46742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50f4…29a3backed Khachanov42c862$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.04650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x533b…e9bdbacked Khachanov42c861$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.62714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick40cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1f3…2d85backed Khachanov42c860$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Minaur59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.469452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Khachanov2c800$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9914243%61 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Khachanov40c777$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.857645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x451a…bb7abacked Minaur58c736$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Minaur67c735.92$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4816644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d8b…3047backed Khachanov41c724.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005450%27 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Khachanov43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008243.9%36 W · 46 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Minaur72c631.6$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.952450%12 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Khachanov35c627.24$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2206530.8%20 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Khachanov36c602.27$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.331,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Khachanov40c523.26$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.317823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c5…90dfbacked Minaur77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.05450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Khachanov42c477.43$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5260641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Khachanov39c423.78$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16462742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb6…3804backed Minaur58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Minaur73c359.74$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.776,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Khachanov42c353.24$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14988446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Minaur61c350$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13822737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Minaur60c350$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1406141%25 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Minaur60c332.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1336549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Khachanov42c326.38$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9573048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Khachanov42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12622840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Minaur62c269$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2217867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85fb…7c3abacked Minaur76c268.16$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.311850%9 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Minaur79c253.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.238248.8%40 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Minaur56c200$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898537.6%32 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb11…e93fbacked Minaur75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ceb…1952backed Minaur75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506055%33 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d66…7befbacked Khachanov40c198.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+74.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Khachanov40c194.98$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f27…8ec7backed Minaur79c194.47$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.843066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea63…f54fbacked Khachanov43c186.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8050%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x81b6…9c1fbacked Minaur58c172.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.34850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Minaur59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4946556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Minaur60c166.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.876250%31 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Minaur68c158.29$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9275547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Khachanov11c154.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.582,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb1e…230abacked Khachanov7c150$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031819.2%61 W · 257 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e92…cd3dbacked Minaur60c140$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Minaur62c129.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Khachanov41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xded7…1ef1backed Minaur79c120.63$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.33366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick78cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d39…b8a0backed Khachanov27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.