TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7355…9443

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 51 out of 100; worst World Politics at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,334.02
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$122
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12,499Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+81.8%+$10,218.8
Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,787Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$5,787.29
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,249Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+26.9%+$604.81
Hellenic Championship: Brandon Nakashima vs Marcos Gironbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,955Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,955.19
Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,413Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+41.8%+$2,264.33
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,079Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+168.8%+$1,821
Open de Moselle: Valentin Royer vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+58.7%+$74
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublikbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,823Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+97.4%+$5,669.77
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Alex de Minaurbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+116.6%+$1,166.31
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,613Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,613
Rolex Paris Masters: Gabriel Diallo vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$202.86
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$470
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+67.6%+$135.18
Rolex Paris Masters: Tallon Griekspoor vs Gabriel Diallobacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,123Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,123.4
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinnbacked Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$330
Rolex Paris Masters: Aleksandar Vukic vs Terence Atmanebacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$389.88
Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverevbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,248Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$312.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,053Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,052.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.