World Politics · resolved market
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd90a30a612b04f2aab7f8d8c67d3696d6aceafa8446ae4e0548e0e4492d7b14f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $293,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,113 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c75…3c94backed No | 8c | 17,853$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…93fdbacked No | 56c | 8,653$4,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830.95 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…d918backed Yes | 50c | 8,000$3,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,015.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0403…a7eebacked Yes | 34c | 6,000$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,969.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +329.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 2c | 5,899$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.81 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 5c | 3,566$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.28 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 3,439$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.96 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 58c | 3,308$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.54 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed Yes | 59c | 3,034$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.93 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…c6a7backed No | 5c | 2,958$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 77c | 2,810$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.91 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 28c | 2,370$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.14 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…bcd4backed No | 4c | 2,100$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 60c | 1,880$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.4 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 7c | 1,824$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.13 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 8c | 1,708$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.48 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 0%0 W · 110 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…6381backed Yes | 69c | 1,411$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.14 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 3c | 1,403$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…9443backed No | 64c | 1,297$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 3c | 1,207$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 6c | 1,086$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…822abacked Yes | 62c | 1,077$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.27 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…e7ebbacked Yes | 79c | 823.64$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.41 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 73c | 699.99$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 6c | 674$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…c0e0backed No | 3c | 654.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 2c | 600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 5c | 560$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 4c | 546.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda4…3b8dbacked Yes | 75c | 533.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 6c | 508.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 6c | 498.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 11c | 496.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed No | 2c | 488.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 18c | 441.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x434f…7d13backed Yes | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.18 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…4b66backed Yes | 72c | 432.02$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 10c | 427.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 6c | 423.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 35c | 399.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.45 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…2415backed Yes | 53c | 357.62$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…a5b9backed No | 7c | 352$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…3f91backed Yes | 77c | 349.91$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…4c96backed No | 68c | 307.34$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…505abacked Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2150…581bbacked Yes | 61c | 295.62$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +73%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…6f7abacked No | 6c | 294.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a50…4c08backed Yes | 35c | 283.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 53c | 245.84$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 43c | 234.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.67 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 15c | 232.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 216.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…df27backed Yes | 73c | 213$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…0f2bbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…b9babacked Yes | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b8…83b9backed Yes | 31c | 196.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 27c | 188.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 50c | 182.69$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8952…1f26backed Yes | 55c | 181.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 64c | 176.2$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.06 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848e…d966backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…a9fbbacked No | 7c | 170.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf233…6ab2backed No | 15c | 167.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2177…3fb4backed Yes | 50c | 159.09$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…04fabacked Yes | 61c | 155.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 43c | 151.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Yes | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…d2babacked Yes | 67c | 149.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…8748backed No | 67c | 148.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…5de8backed Yes | 74c | 148.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 9c | 146.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…6a5abacked No | 68c | 146.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed No | 61c | 144.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 48c | 142.32$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fb…1763backed No | 68c | 137.37$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…bdb8backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd59b…3ce2backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 74c | 131.4$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb458…d89ebacked Yes | 79c | 130.38$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 58c | 129.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…1d17backed Yes | 69c | 127.21$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x654e…a304backed Yes | 39c | 127.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…3572backed Yes | 39c | 126.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…96a8backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…9cd4backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa234…08efbacked No | 64c | 124.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8b…b15ebacked Yes | 37c | 120$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62b4…31d3backed Yes | 34c | 110$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…f0fbbacked No | 10c | 105.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 35c | 104.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d20bbacked Yes | 49c | 101.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51bf…4706backed Yes | 40c | 101.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…d3d2backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?this page
- Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?No won
- Will Jean-Marc Governatori win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?No won
- Will Juliette Chesnel-Leroux win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?No won
- Will Mireille Damiano win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.