World Politics · resolved market
Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5b07cdec6c7ff66113ce4160ecb2ca148df06b72c170cfa0ec8d4a52309c7fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,811 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c75…3c94backed Yes | 7c | 53,428$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 8,024$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.71 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…93fdbacked Yes | 63c | 6,077$3,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,820.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…6625backed Yes | 3c | 3,406$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Yes | 31c | 2,805$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 27c | 2,768$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.92 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39ac…5e32backed Yes | 6c | 2,661$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…62b7backed Yes | 28c | 2,639$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5a…675bbacked Yes | 65c | 2,626$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…4478backed Yes | 2c | 2,381$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 62c | 2,191$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.06 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 7c | 1,654$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.49 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…4f05backed Yes | 3c | 1,615$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed Yes | 67c | 1,574$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,551$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0414…be21backed Yes | 14c | 1,469$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.32 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 1,457$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d9…fdd5backed Yes | 37c | 1,335$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.47 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…1017backed No | 38c | 1,333$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 3c | 1,317$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 6c | 1,248$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…8592backed Yes | 9c | 1,153$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed Yes | 35c | 1,126$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.44 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…6fb9backed Yes | 7c | 999.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ef…8724backed Yes | 3c | 934.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…6381backed Yes | 7c | 930.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd199…37a6backed Yes | 23c | 850.82$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 68c | 839.41$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.25 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 8c | 826.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a41…c0cebacked Yes | 13c | 818.41$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd463…8513backed Yes | 2c | 714.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Yes | 9c | 711.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 8c | 691.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…9443backed Yes | 66c | 686.48$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…c681backed Yes | 1c | 682.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…c0e0backed Yes | 3c | 648.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 77c | 600.31$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.18 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…7f92backed Yes | 17c | 584.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…2356backed Yes | 4c | 541.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8922…3284backed Yes | 9c | 529.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…09e2backed Yes | 67c | 514.36$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 77c | 510.9$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.31 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…dbf7backed Yes | 13c | 500$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 8c | 483$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…4c96backed Yes | 50c | 468.65$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4471…3f7bbacked Yes | 12c | 467.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ea…2033backed Yes | 2c | 463.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9110…4a41backed Yes | 22c | 460.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…c482backed Yes | 14c | 445.11$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 78c | 433.98$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 65c | 424.18$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.11 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78c…15d8backed Yes | 25c | 416.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…bd95backed Yes | 6c | 405.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 14c | 394.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd268…5609backed Yes | 68c | 353.83$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8b…b15ebacked Yes | 16c | 323.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 10c | 311.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…a5b9backed Yes | 7c | 303.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb244…7ed9backed Yes | 7c | 293.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…786bbacked Yes | 25c | 278.91$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5f…bd84backed Yes | 8c | 269.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 12c | 264.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 5c | 264$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +72%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f76…1d92backed Yes | 62c | 243.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 20c | 242.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 8c | 214.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 149 | 4.7%7 W · 142 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…5a04backed Yes | 23c | 203.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…b0f0backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3d…fddcbacked Yes | 26c | 193.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +112%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 36c | 188.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.32 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…d2babacked Yes | 57c | 180.1$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…ee14backed Yes | 6c | 179.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…8297backed Yes | 65c | 178.15$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.89 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8952…1f26backed No | 56c | 177.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 20c | 171.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked Yes | 65c | 168.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked Yes | 26c | 167.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62b4…31d3backed No | 35c | 166.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 155.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb55…3eb2backed Yes | 8c | 154.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…e04abacked Yes | 19c | 153.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…1bd3backed Yes | 66c | 152.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…3008backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9f…b0f0backed Yes | 35c | 148.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 36c | 143.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…c5cabacked No | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…0d2bbacked Yes | 15c | 139.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Yes | 37c | 136.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…dd76backed Yes | 33c | 130$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…bdb8backed No | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a32fbacked Yes | 16c | 124.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 45c | 120.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 24c | 110.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd853…204ebacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b35…b245backed Yes | 30c | 101.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…feebbacked Yes | 29c | 100.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b0…c2edbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?this page
- Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Yes won
- Will Jean-Marc Governatori win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?No won
- Will Juliette Chesnel-Leroux win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?No won
- Will Mireille Damiano win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.