TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb6c…ee14

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
278
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 59 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5058%29 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$4.49
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$4.26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$19.76
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$14.93
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.64
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$15.2
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.4
Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.86
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.62
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+341.2%+$46.4
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+386.5%+$76.34
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT3644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$20.13
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+509.8%+$83.6
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+120.9%+$12.67
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.28
Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.39
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.78
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.19
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.64
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 36-40% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$7.39
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 60% and 65%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.4
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$12
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.2
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Will Robert Lulgjuraj be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$5.07
Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$8.04
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Mark Baisley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24.29
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.11
Will Gary Goodweather win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.79
Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$26.8
Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$14.33
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.67
Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$29.92
Will Nate Morris be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$9.11
Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$12.1
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$6.35
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$29.2
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$22.4
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.39
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$20.07
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.35
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$11.4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$32.59
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.51
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.84
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
All 21 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.17
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.19
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$10.6
Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.82
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.63
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$40.1
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$5.52
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.58
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+119%+$54.33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.17
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$29.6
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.54
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$19
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.57
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+125.5%+$25.88
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.57
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+90%+$28.43
Will Claude go down 9-10 times in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
AWS service disrupted by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Claude go down 5-6 times in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+95.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.63
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.32
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.72
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$5.04
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+1,509.9%+$296.09
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+186.2%+$18.83
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.01
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-48.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-59.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+109.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+40.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
IPO — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+219.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+271.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+109.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+247.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+247.8%+$57
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Brown be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Paddy Pimblett next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Designer Brands Inc (DBI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.