Lol · resolved market
Will Gen.G win First Stand 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf673e227c275ed3ccdff43072c52f23c2a09c8c5626430d525693ee9bdc3efa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,241 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 33c | 16,359$5,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,897.37 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e1…645fbacked Yes | 68c | 9,000$6,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,075.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed No | 37c | 7,747$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,913.48 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 29c | 7,370$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,253.01 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked No | 30c | 6,551$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,584.18 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Yes | 66c | 5,418$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.69 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 55c | 5,212$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.8 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c8…c34ebacked Yes | 67c | 4,475$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed Yes | 75c | 3,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.99 | 297 | 58.2%173 W · 124 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Yes | 78c | 3,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.94 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Yes | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.95 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked No | 75c | 2,223$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.44 | 405 | 46.2%187 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Yes | 66c | 2,067$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.39 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 66c | 2,045$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.11 | 301 | 39.5%119 W · 182 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Yes | 73c | 2,030$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.3 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…16a5backed Yes | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 57c | 1,769$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.82 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Yes | 62c | 1,720$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.4 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d82…72febacked Yes | 73c | 1,522$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.07 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…f1f3backed No | 21c | 1,506$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.58 | 246 | 48.4%119 W · 127 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 76c | 1,505$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.72 | 175 | 61.1%107 W · 68 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 51c | 1,478$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.33 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed No | 24c | 1,371$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.48 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yes | 80c | 1,360$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088 | 297 | 61.6%183 W · 114 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 29c | 1,293$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.89 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed No | 20c | 1,288$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.7 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Yes | 62c | 1,221$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.01 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 20c | 1,200$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Yes | 78c | 1,013$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.64 | 151 | 66.2%100 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,004$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…669ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9560…9467backed Yes | 66c | 999.98$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 63c | 993.52$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.39 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…c112backed Yes | 68c | 896.56$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked Yes | 69c | 892.01$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.43 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3d…34efbacked Yes | 79c | 799.99$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Yes | 76c | 790.59$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 27c | 789.63$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77b…29a8backed Yes | 76c | 776.66$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.37 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Yes | 66c | 761.06$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…b416backed Yes | 67c | 741.04$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 30c | 729.94$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.77 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed Yes | 72c | 718.5$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.77 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…038ebacked Yes | 66c | 712.76$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed No | 32c | 706.19$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.21 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Yes | 66c | 700$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 242 | 40.9%99 W · 143 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x416b…bad6backed Yes | 74c | 699.98$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 30c | 678.77$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.62 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Yes | 77c | 649.34$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 338 | 57.1%193 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked No | 30c | 637.44$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.3 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae72…f49dbacked Yes | 79c | 635$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.65 | 383 | 35%134 W · 249 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7240…42f7backed Yes | 80c | 628.46$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1289…42aabacked Yes | 78c | 625$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…d0bbbacked Yes | 65c | 622.58$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.98 | 133 | 22.6%30 W · 103 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Yes | 49c | 613.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.25 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…5290backed Yes | 5c | 599.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd3…d7ebbacked Yes | 36c | 500$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 65c | 499.97$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.98 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Yes | 73c | 461.45$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5664backed No | 33c | 459.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 22c | 447.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…5d6abacked Yes | 68c | 442.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…9fcfbacked Yes | 68c | 442.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…f325backed Yes | 66c | 440$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…7733backed Yes | 69c | 434$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.16 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Yes | 67c | 416.42$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…ff28backed Yes | 68c | 413.95$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 72c | 400$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Yes | 78c | 383.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.13 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked Yes | 79c | 379.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 139 | 71.2%99 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 79c | 360.27$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.61 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Yes | 78c | 337.39$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.16 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 44c | 323.72$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.77 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…ee91backed Yes | 71c | 316.84$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.96 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Yes | 78c | 304.44$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.62 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…e497backed No | 23c | 304.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.35 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…e272backed Yes | 77c | 300.65$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.35 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…9c74backed Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 22c | 290$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 34c | 280.86$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Yes | 61c | 275.71$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.18 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf669…c10abacked Yes | 40c | 274.36$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe86b…9371backed Yes | 77c | 258.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b93…1158backed Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc53a…f18bbacked Yes | 75c | 250.71$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…20f1backed Yes | 67c | 246.71$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 50 | 74%37 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…53c9backed Yes | 17c | 241.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f7…b825backed Yes | 74c | 232.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed No | 23c | 230.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…431cbacked Yes | 80c | 225.63$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 201 | 71.1%143 W · 58 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa731…eb41backed Yes | 79c | 198.73$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 55c | 197.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 20c | 197.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.64 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 39c | 196$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…14ecbacked Yes | 80c | 187.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gen.G win First Stand 2026?this page
- Will BNK FEARX win First Stand 2026?No won
- Will Bilibili Gaming win First Stand 2026?Yes won
- Will G2 Esports win First Stand 2026?No won
- Will JD Gaming win First Stand 2026?No won
- Will LOUD win First Stand 2026?No won
- Will LYON win First Stand 2026?No won
- Will Team Secret Whales win First Stand 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.