TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1a87…20f1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Commodities at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT5074%37 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$5.16
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$22.57
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.94
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.89
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$10.03
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Gen.G win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$166
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$7.82
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$21.68
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+42%+$6.3
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$365.86
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+85.5%+$42.76
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+150%+$24
Hawks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.81
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+185.7%+$65
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+122.2%+$15.17
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$43.86
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$70.3
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+410.2%+$80.4
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+495.2%+$83.2
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+121.8%+$54.81
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+271.6%+$73.32
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+487.8%+$82.92
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+481.4%+$187.74
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$9.3
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Jordan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$11.48
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+69.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$194.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+28.7%+$5.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.