TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Nets, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,027,748
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,131,978

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,027,748 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 480 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x82a1…e03abacked Nets13c466,244$62,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404,244.215952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0140…9028backed Nets11c78,000$8,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,0404544.4%20 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Celtics53c50,000$26,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,399.9838248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets11c49,050$5,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,656.6996447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets11c45,584$5,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,569.9487144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Nets48c37,004$17,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,176.351,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets51c36,046$18,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,559.494,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Celtics63c35,000$22,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,088.2648448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Celtics16c35,000$5,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,687.4912529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Nets10c34,863$3,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,376.3215443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3e4…9241backed Nets12c33,008$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,007.843432.4%11 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ae…160dbacked Celtics33c30,512$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbeb…7db8backed Celtics37c29,214$10,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,90410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Nets41c22,780$9,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,404.7126038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Nets12c20,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,60015841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Celtics54c18,090$9,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,753.51,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets47c17,494$8,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,275.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Nets80c16,514$13,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,318.4119388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Nets74c13,952$10,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,642.2422457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nets57c12,226$6,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,293.371,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Celtics32c11,346$3,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,594.751,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Nets11c10,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,899.9919048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Celtics34c9,634$3,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,248.011,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Celtics44c8,418$3,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,702.6566744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Nets13c8,000$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,955.821,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets12c8,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0401,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed Nets13c7,913$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,920.462755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fdd…5feabacked Celtics26c7,733$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Celtics49c7,718$3,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,781.4744337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Celtics44c6,908$3,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,014.3681529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Celtics72c6,149$4,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,447.931,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Nets11c6,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,339.9946342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Nets11c5,644$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,007.3447028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Celtics44c5,455$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400.227251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Nets14c5,426$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,650.082924.1%7 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets38c5,239$2,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,226.591,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Nets75c5,100$3,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.959640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nets54c4,827$2,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,222.525,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa89e…fb60backed Celtics44c4,580$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005379.2%42 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77e2…8ba5backed Nets11c4,500$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,005560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+135.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c9c…6824backed Celtics52c4,326$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.94429.5%13 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Celtics70c4,222$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,950.0629458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Celtics40c4,101$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.462,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed Nets54c3,900$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.472437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Nets12c3,700$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,25616730.5%51 W · 116 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked Nets41c3,700$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1833256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Celtics47c3,649$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.681,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Celtics3c3,600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Celtics62c3,584$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2222466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8f4…c82cbacked Celtics39c3,526$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.462673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…51e3backed Nets36c3,500$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,24010941.3%45 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Nets12c3,342$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,940.6714358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x173a…eb85backed Celtics56c3,227$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8008855.7%49 W · 39 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Celtics73c3,168$2,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,316.369050%45 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Nets12c3,131$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,754.316931.9%22 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed Celtics52c3,103$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60013558.5%79 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Nets19c3,071$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,476.7125753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf6…c629backed Celtics39c3,036$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1795855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Nets11c3,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,67033146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Nets11c2,998$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,668.222,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcd…0aa5backed Celtics59c2,842$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.991741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222c…4ab2backed Celtics48c2,812$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.862544%11 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Nets11c2,800$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4928939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Nets11c2,612$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,324.5672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Celtics56c2,595$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.8985344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef4…32a1backed Nets11c2,500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,22510041%41 W · 59 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Celtics75c2,471$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855.320746.4%96 W · 111 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Nets66c2,467$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.073,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Celtics44c2,275$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.520851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20cb…719bbacked Celtics45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Nets12c2,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7609042.2%38 W · 52 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e6c…d4dabacked Nets10c2,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.93145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd162…0d24backed Nets19c1,833$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4884843.8%21 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x930b…c8bcbacked Nets11c1,763$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,568.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+165.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Celtics61c1,700$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0376744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Nets11c1,600$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4241,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Celtics41c1,565$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.541,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab1…54e1backed Celtics52c1,508$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.972050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Nets11c1,500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.9817931.8%57 W · 122 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Celtics62c1,470$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.411,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae8d…210fbacked Celtics43c1,392$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.526058.3%35 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Celtics40c1,380$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.6548046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Celtics53c1,371$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7281,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42cb…8412backed Nets47c1,345$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.247259.7%43 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea68…ff92backed Celtics59c1,341$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.358743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Nets10c1,340$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2061,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908d…1d99backed Nets17c1,333$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.27640.8%31 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfe…8861backed Nets12c1,313$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.13425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid+108.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d71…87d5backed Nets36c1,300$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.991833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Celtics35c1,297$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.0512238.5%47 W · 75 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Nets12c1,254$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.5210226.5%27 W · 75 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80a9…ad8bbacked Celtics40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009943.4%43 W · 56 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5276…74ddbacked Celtics40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c6…a111backed Nets11c1,226$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.073053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Celtics68c1,224$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.647856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Celtics61c1,134$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.621540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Celtics34c1,121$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.7847134.2%161 W · 310 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-16.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x93e5…5043backed Nets12c1,083$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.33683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.49per pick34cpaid+228.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Celtics40c1,069$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.211,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17e…0868backed Nets12c1,026$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.152245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.