NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x172076a52a2671e595518f662a91cd17ebdb3faa3240e66fef2d1d4034748e64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Celtics, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Nets | 53c | 230,753$121,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,445.25 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Celtics | 47c | 64,057$30,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,106.41 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 47c | 49,997$23,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,741.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 48c | 30,180$14,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,385.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Celtics | 48c | 25,188$12,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,037.87 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Celtics | 46c | 15,555$7,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,155.3 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Nets | 48c | 15,000$7,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,749.83 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Celtics | 48c | 10,687$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,129.51 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…8cb3backed Celtics | 52c | 10,369$5,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,392 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Celtics | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Celtics | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics | 48c | 2,999$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.18 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Celtics | 48c | 2,702$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.04 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Celtics | 47c | 2,321$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.48 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Celtics | 49c | 2,082$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.4 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Celtics | 48c | 1,522$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.28 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…1ae1backed Celtics | 40c | 1,282$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.89 | 230 | 43%99 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtics | 48c | 1,145$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.6 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Nets | 47c | 979.6$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.19 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Celtics | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Nets | 49c | 467$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.17 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Celtics | 48c | 417.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…9188backed Nets | 50c | 400.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Nets | 49c | 304.24$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.16 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed Celtics | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf5…443bbacked Celtics | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Nets | 50c | 200.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Nets | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Celtics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Celtics | 52c | 182.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Nets | 48c | 150.48$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Nets | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 274 | 35.4%97 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Celtics | 50c | 130.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 49c | 115$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…f498backed Celtics | 58c | 103.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Celtics | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Nets | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…31c8backed Nets | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Celtics | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Nets | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…7c76backed Nets | 48c | 99.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…f0e8backed Celtics | 52c | 96.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…7c99backed Celtics | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…2927backed Celtics | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 46c | 88.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics | 51c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Celtics | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Nets | 50c | 80.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Nets | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets | 48c | 75.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…3ea6backed Nets | 49c | 69.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Celtics | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Nets | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nets | 50c | 52.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Nets | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Nets | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Nets | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x694f…68efbacked Celtics | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Celtics | 50c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Celtics | 49c | 46.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nets | 47c | 45.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…7701backed Celtics | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed Nets | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Celtics | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Celtics | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Celtics | 52c | 34.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…d14fbacked Nets | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…a973backed Nets | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked Celtics | 48c | 29.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…6a74backed Celtics | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Nets won
- Nets vs. CelticsNets won
- Nets vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-15.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.