TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3605…1ae1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
276
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT23043%99 W · 131 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 230 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.91
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+491.1%+$1,266.31
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$414.56
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.25
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+94.2%+$108.24
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+150%+$61.5
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+254.5%+$73.34
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+62.5%+$33.09
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.35
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+188.3%+$113
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+112.8%+$32.49
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$97.03
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+372.5%+$111.76
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$106.9
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$33.36
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$113.48
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+56.3%+$30.67
Magic vs. Grizzliesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$213.59
Spread: Magic (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 230 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.22
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.91
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$28.01
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$28.44
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$111.55
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.3
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+120.4%+$108.15
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$43
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.9
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$72
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.06
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$26.35
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$32.99
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$43.3
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42.75
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$30.42
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$49.99
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+371.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+371.8%+$1,115.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+40.2%+$14.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 November 3-9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$88.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.