NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32a79565ad4fb127891461b41e50d9c612dfe81e3e861917447d415600585648
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Magic, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $508,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $510,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $508,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 354 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Grizzlies | 52c | 49,999$25,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,999.42 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…7b8fbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 16,514$8,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,422.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 49c | 15,151$7,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,451.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…81aabacked Magic | 48c | 12,851$6,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,168.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 10,512$5,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,255.85 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6e…4948backed Magic | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Magic | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Magic | 48c | 8,325$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.89 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Grizzlies | 51c | 7,371$3,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,611.95 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1db…10e9backed Magic | 51c | 6,500$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…d3eabacked Grizzlies | 52c | 6,300$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3930…719fbacked Magic | 51c | 5,880$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…e1cebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 5,550$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x667f…3f85backed Grizzlies | 49c | 5,350$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Magic | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Magic | 48c | 5,198$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.16 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd30…da2ebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 5,100$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe041…9d2dbacked Magic | 51c | 5,071$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf98d…9e5fbacked Magic | 51c | 4,650$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Magic | 52c | 4,650$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b7…4103backed Magic | 51c | 4,629$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…3031backed Grizzlies | 49c | 4,609$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…c556backed Grizzlies | 49c | 4,358$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dba…c8efbacked Magic | 51c | 4,330$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…e8febacked Magic | 51c | 4,319$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf623…6725backed Magic | 51c | 4,307$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda88…500abacked Grizzlies | 49c | 4,260$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…6c7cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 4,256$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…e297backed Grizzlies | 49c | 4,250$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3d…a035backed Grizzlies | 49c | 4,241$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3c…873fbacked Magic | 51c | 4,201$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…d140backed Grizzlies | 49c | 4,193$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…0e21backed Grizzlies | 49c | 4,158$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4679…c1eabacked Grizzlies | 49c | 4,080$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda36…4e89backed Grizzlies | 49c | 4,079$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…1fd8backed Grizzlies | 49c | 4,076$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6874…a224backed Magic | 51c | 4,074$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa684…699bbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 4,072$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…9605backed Magic | 51c | 4,060$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…309fbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 4,040$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7e…f9c7backed Magic | 51c | 4,024$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3c…41f5backed Magic | 51c | 4,009$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ae…63d4backed Magic | 51c | 3,978$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…0c7ebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 3,946$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ab…cb57backed Magic | 51c | 3,941$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa08f…a7d7backed Magic | 51c | 3,927$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa833…d10cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 3,922$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1053…1e3ebacked Magic | 51c | 3,917$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f9…7139backed Magic | 51c | 3,866$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…5f1dbacked Magic | 51c | 3,864$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01d…bc90backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,847$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…b4b8backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,839$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…d377backed Magic | 51c | 3,838$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d45…071cbacked Magic | 51c | 3,829$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633c…7d35backed Magic | 51c | 3,825$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaa…c8bfbacked Magic | 51c | 3,823$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…d108backed Magic | 51c | 3,798$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7364…7cdebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 3,762$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3935…43d5backed Magic | 51c | 3,759$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…3ab2backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,750$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…4f17backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,695$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…c442backed Magic | 51c | 3,693$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…f915backed Magic | 51c | 3,691$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0720…15bfbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 3,687$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd088…e8b6backed Magic | 51c | 3,685$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9357…78fbbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 3,664$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b0…36f9backed Magic | 51c | 3,647$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f92…6a06backed Magic | 51c | 3,636$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…9c18backed Magic | 51c | 3,628$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf98…1536backed Magic | 51c | 3,627$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ff…f3e1backed Magic | 51c | 3,626$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…28eebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 3,618$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d5…b4ebbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 3,616$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d65…80d7backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,607$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a7…7030backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,598$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…1232backed Magic | 51c | 3,594$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…3c8bbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 3,590$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc83a…1b9cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 3,587$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a6…adb9backed Magic | 51c | 3,572$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f5…3bb1backed Magic | 51c | 3,558$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70bc…4876backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,557$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…82f2backed Magic | 51c | 3,522$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a2…b21cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 3,521$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…58d5backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,515$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a16…d8febacked Grizzlies | 49c | 3,490$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17c8…892bbacked Magic | 51c | 3,489$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…b720backed Magic | 51c | 3,461$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…30b4backed Magic | 51c | 3,453$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d1…a1adbacked Magic | 51c | 3,441$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893a…d50dbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 3,440$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b8…8e7ebacked Magic | 51c | 3,430$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f37…6b50backed Magic | 51c | 3,419$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0822…3cf9backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,407$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf3…f71bbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 3,403$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…a0b1backed Magic | 51c | 3,402$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8852…d510backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,395$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x809b…f0eabacked Magic | 51c | 3,378$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…c3fcbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 3,375$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…bc4ebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 3,362$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)this page
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Magic vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Under won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Under won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5Under won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-16.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-17.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.