NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90bb33d12405958e2c71d31b40a3641e0dd6f431bfa475dbdfafaa3c0fea6ba5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 51c | 23,132$11,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,698.08 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 14,114$6,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,181.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…0ab2backed Under | 50c | 13,533$6,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,766.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a397backed Over | 50c | 13,359$6,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,679.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdb…7ff7backed Under | 50c | 13,359$6,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,679.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19bb…445bbacked Over | 50c | 12,679$6,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,339.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x390b…d139backed Over | 50c | 12,191$6,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,095.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…b81cbacked Under | 50c | 11,837$5,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,918.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 5,390$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.68 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Over | 51c | 1,948$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.42 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 52c | 1,921$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.56 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Over | 52c | 1,794$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.92 | 113 | 61.9%70 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 52c | 1,791$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.78 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 1,760$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.76 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 1,743$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 1,691$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.93 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 1,189$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.19 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 52c | 1,063$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.74 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 51c | 940.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.09 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 791.09$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.63 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 594.37$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.38 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 48c | 475$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 37c | 472.29$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.73 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 426.69$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 12c | 368.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 63c | 357$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.09 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 49c | 309.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.89 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Over | 52c | 259.62$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 236.71$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…3e2abacked Under | 51c | 231.31$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.12 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…d467backed Under | 50c | 200.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 76c | 142.85$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Under | 51c | 133.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Under | 50c | 114.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Under | 51c | 107.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…0fbfbacked Under | 51c | 106.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…e042backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 50c | 98.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b75…d083backed Under | 36c | 85.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Over | 63c | 78.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Over | 52c | 75.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Under | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 51c | 63.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 17c | 62.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 51c | 55.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 48c | 54.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…0d3bbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 50.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…7d6fbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…0bb5backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…48b7backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…9ef1backed Over | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…32ddbacked Over | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…91c0backed Over | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x640d…3168backed Over | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 45c | 41.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8694…441cbacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f3…39ccbacked Over | 49c | 39.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Over | 48c | 39.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…cdccbacked Over | 49c | 39.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…cf1dbacked Under | 51c | 36.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…fb23backed Over | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…ac2fbacked Over | 49c | 35.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cba…9988backed Over | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 67c | 34.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Under | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…24d2backed Over | 52c | 33.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…8593backed Over | 52c | 32.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 30.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 50c | 30.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…6a88backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a6…3cd9backed Over | 52c | 29.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 49c | 27.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 50c | 26.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…53edbacked Over | 51c | 25.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…223dbacked Over | 52c | 24.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 52c | 22.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc440…922ebacked Under | 50c | 22.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…da96backed Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…87e5backed Under | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfd…920fbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Under | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Over | 70c | 16.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5this page
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Magic vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Under won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Under won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5Under won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-16.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-17.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.