TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$433,193
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$440,032

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $433,193 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x929e…f3b8backed Over54c26,856$14,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,353.76771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x428e…6b22backed Under47c10,626$4,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,994.2240%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f7e…552bbacked Over53c10,492$5,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,931.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fc…96bebacked Over53c9,990$5,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,695.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63f5…b89dbacked Under47c9,888$4,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,647.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f0…3fb1backed Over53c9,888$5,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,647.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4937…b8bcbacked Over53c9,664$5,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,542.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d5…ae29backed Over53c8,292$4,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,897.24425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc071…b71abacked Under47c8,292$3,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,897.2440%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc588…db22backed Over53c7,942$4,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,732.74425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e99…7b4abacked Under47c7,652$3,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,596.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd1…b15dbacked Over53c7,484$3,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,517.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec7…2924backed Over53c7,052$3,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,314.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x944e…d279backed Under47c6,700$3,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b7…4103backed Under47c6,660$3,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,130.230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa350…5809backed Under47c6,644$3,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,122.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60c0…2affbacked Over53c6,644$3,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Under49c6,167$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0006753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under50c5,859$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,929.51,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb2…8bc3backed Under47c5,810$2,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,730.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1efd…1093backed Under46c4,754$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad6b…7267backed Under46c4,731$2,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1c9…872fbacked Under46c4,699$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f44…966fbacked Over53c4,682$2,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.54450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc14f…c137backed Under46c4,641$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6924…bdebbacked Under46c4,552$2,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,093.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x669b…45dbbacked Under46c4,407$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a2…4c2abacked Under46c4,406$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,026.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over50c4,372$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,186.033,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf6e…4948backed Over52c4,333$2,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.69837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76ce…a950backed Under46c4,327$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,990.4230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe749…8efdbacked Under46c4,319$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under48c4,299$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,063.558449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd885…18abbacked Under46c4,248$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3518…3d5dbacked Under46c4,213$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…a300backed Under46c4,178$1,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,921.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e89…3bb5backed Under47c4,168$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9218…2c65backed Under46c4,125$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fcf…b192backed Over54c4,112$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1934…6e20backed Over54c4,079$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2910…ef17backed Under46c4,038$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6270…c318backed Over54c3,961$2,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x321c…99abbacked Under46c3,947$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,815.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f91…0892backed Under47c3,904$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0187…5823backed Over54c3,886$2,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,787.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x508e…a7e6backed Under46c3,873$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedd2…557abacked Over54c3,867$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+65.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x027f…39e2backed Over54c3,852$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a63…19d0backed Over54c3,842$2,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4cd…3c25backed Under46c3,834$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.64333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-16.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe55…a25dbacked Under46c3,816$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5798…dc79backed Over54c3,768$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe19b…0616backed Under46c3,756$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfa…6625backed Under46c3,751$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe002…6958backed Over54c3,729$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f0…c03ebacked Under46c3,723$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd064…33a2backed Under46c3,706$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,704.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe041…9d2dbacked Under47c3,702$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.9430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe41f…6935backed Over54c3,667$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48df…0300backed Under46c3,647$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x668d…0820backed Over54c3,639$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc6…3b03backed Under46c3,623$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb09d…abb4backed Over54c3,609$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae17…a325backed Under46c3,590$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf00f…440bbacked Under46c3,557$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fb…d6b4backed Over54c3,529$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb784…828cbacked Over54c3,520$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd94…fa3fbacked Under46c3,508$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31a1…ec9abacked Over54c3,503$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3704…bc56backed Over54c3,494$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad13…0faebacked Under46c3,473$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa63c…d2abbacked Under46c3,448$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac87…3059backed Under46c3,446$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70e8…997fbacked Under46c3,421$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.6630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cb2…eddbbacked Over54c3,368$1,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8e…8345backed Over54c3,360$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea34…42e4backed Over54c3,347$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.62560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73e5…301dbacked Under46c3,345$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6465…abffbacked Over54c3,321$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa67b…2a2fbacked Under46c3,315$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd8…b563backed Under46c3,310$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14cd…9d45backed Under46c3,302$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b37…9511backed Over54c3,289$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9808…d7adbacked Over54c3,268$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc32…2f9cbacked Over54c3,254$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8edc…7796backed Over54c3,252$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6be…59d2backed Under46c3,237$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6181…2f94backed Under46c3,147$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c96…aecdbacked Under46c3,120$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab26…ebbcbacked Under47c3,114$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b7…ea9abacked Over54c3,109$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.14475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+60.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b81…bd8ebacked Under46c3,102$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…fc32backed Under46c3,072$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb152…be51backed Over54c3,058$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10c3…66e8backed Under46c3,012$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.52425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a8…2b7ebacked Over54c3,004$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42f1…bebdbacked Over50c2,996$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.094443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfa2…90acbacked Over54c2,974$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d529backed Over54c2,968$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x073a…db2bbacked Over54c2,957$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.