NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x764789e39522ddbb7207b6388703226b69fb5928326756c4d6f64de907193dbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Magic, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,946,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,003,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,946,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 943 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 42c | 494,953$207,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287,235.08 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Magic | 57c | 244,462$139,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139,329.83 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Grizzlies | 71c | 187,447$133,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,884.9 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 60c | 79,672$47,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,439.45 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Magic | 57c | 61,427$34,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,718.28 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Magic | 59c | 50,000$29,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,499.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Magic | 59c | 50,000$29,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,599.97 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Grizzlies | 41c | 40,001$16,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,468.44 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Magic | 5c | 38,668$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.93 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Magic | 58c | 37,968$22,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,014.76 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 15c | 37,427$5,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,779.01 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Grizzlies | 42c | 35,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,299.99 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 59c | 30,304$17,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,782.27 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Magic | 11c | 28,585$3,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,152.39 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Grizzlies | 41c | 27,576$11,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,345.71 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Magic | 10c | 26,205$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.13 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 29c | 25,957$7,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,572.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Magic | 57c | 25,877$14,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,750 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Magic | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 56c | 21,547$12,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,136.68 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic | 30c | 20,664$6,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,162.87 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf65…f5ffbacked Magic | 10c | 20,557$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Magic | 16c | 19,513$3,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182.18 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Magic | 59c | 18,963$11,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,187.93 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Magic | 13c | 17,333$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.44 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Grizzlies | 69c | 15,833$10,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,888.52 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Magic | 0c | 15,731$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Grizzlies | 75c | 14,696$11,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630.6 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Grizzlies | 72c | 13,555$9,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,801.12 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Magic | 60c | 12,500$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebf…e50fbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 12,403$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,202.97 | 651 | 44.5%290 W · 361 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Magic | 8c | 11,507$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.9 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b33…3d6abacked Magic | 24c | 10,846$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.27 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Grizzlies | 60c | 10,801$6,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,283.05 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 10,508$5,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,906.6 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Magic | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Grizzlies | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.98 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…1adbbacked Grizzlies | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.97 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Magic | 0c | 9,969$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 59c | 9,209$5,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,409.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Magic | 1c | 9,000$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…e675backed Grizzlies | 41c | 8,420$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,967.89 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Magic | 59c | 8,343$4,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,922.46 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3748…85d4backed Magic | 60c | 7,974$4,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,784.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Magic | 12c | 7,563$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.68 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies | 79c | 7,555$5,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.65 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…526fbacked Magic | 28c | 7,500$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Magic | 59c | 7,353$4,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,338.2 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Grizzlies | 42c | 7,160$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.83 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Magic | 3c | 7,147$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.31 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 6,977$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,976.74 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Grizzlies | 41c | 6,917$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,104.08 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Magic | 7c | 6,891$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Grizzlies | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.18 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +10.8wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Magic | 59c | 6,801$4,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,012.59 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Grizzlies | 40c | 6,800$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…8577backed Magic | 14c | 6,513$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Grizzlies | 58c | 6,425$3,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.27 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Magic | 50c | 6,314$3,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -10.1wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Grizzlies | 59c | 6,253$3,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.47 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 41c | 5,871$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,463.65 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…a6c2backed Magic | 5c | 5,823$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.39 | 103 | 4.9%5 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 5,748$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.13 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 72c | 5,696$4,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.13 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…b4c8backed Magic | 61c | 5,664$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,455.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Grizzlies | 38c | 5,598$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,468.29 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 64c | 5,544$3,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.84 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Magic | 59c | 5,481$3,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.48 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Magic | 59c | 5,200$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Magic | 59c | 5,118$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…c549backed Grizzlies | 43c | 5,052$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.67 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc127…66e9backed Magic | 58c | 5,051$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.3 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Magic | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Magic | 57c | 4,888$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.38 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e693backed Magic | 1c | 4,700$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 169 | 0%0 W · 169 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Grizzlies | 40c | 4,350$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Magic | 59c | 4,210$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.77 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d26…1c15backed Magic | 60c | 4,198$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.6 | 224 | 59.4%133 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 4,186$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.05 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Magic | 59c | 4,168$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.18 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Magic | 60c | 4,102$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.39 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Magic | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Grizzlies | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…9ab4backed Magic | 10c | 3,950$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.06 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…0e4fbacked Magic | 16c | 3,922$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Grizzlies | 41c | 3,800$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Magic | 60c | 3,750$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Magic | 58c | 3,682$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.84 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Grizzlies | 41c | 3,659$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.54 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73d…80e7backed Grizzlies | 79c | 3,554$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Grizzlies | 42c | 3,521$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.08 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Magic | 58c | 3,467$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 60c | 3,449$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.19 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Magic | 13c | 3,445$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.64 | 334 | 28.1%94 W · 240 L | -20.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Grizzlies | 43c | 3,403$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.87 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Grizzlies | 41c | 3,331$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.16 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1c9fbacked Magic | 8c | 3,321$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…3191backed Magic | 60c | 3,300$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Grizzlies | 74c | 3,206$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.11 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Grizzliesthis page
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Under won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Under won
- Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5Under won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-16.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-17.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.