TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7c2…9ab4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst AI at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6450%32 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$39.74
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+197%+$20.29
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$28.8
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.13
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.17
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$68.55
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$40.03
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$52.57
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$25.27
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+123%+$18.44
76ers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+175.7%+$149.16
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$55.04
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+203%+$75.33
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$72.95
Magic vs. Grizzliesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$406.06
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$288.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$6.91
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pyunik FA vs. Debreceni VSC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$18.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ebola case in the US by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$4.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.