Champions League · resolved market
Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cfa8f2b97dbfd91c1236d900623072ac616e1ccf6d4111e7b786219c8825e10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 6,890$5,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.11 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 5,692$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.11 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 2,773$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.7 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 25c | 2,383$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.68 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 1,999$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.95 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 1,521$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.51 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 1,373$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.09 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed No | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 78c | 1,220$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.98 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed No | 78c | 985.69$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.98 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 34c | 809.11$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.69 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 26c | 780$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.66 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 769.39$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.28 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 6c | 575.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 5c | 569.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Yes | 18c | 551.64$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 6c | 541.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 74c | 534.06$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.06 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 79c | 401.13$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.08 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5c…00f7backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 77c | 373.04$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 352.34$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 78c | 343.97$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.97 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 24c | 322$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 28c | 289.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 33c | 288.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 9c | 288.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 212 | 17%36 W · 176 L | -37.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 39c | 274.11$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 274$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.44 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 28c | 263.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 23c | 252.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 32c | 250.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…fec7backed Yes | 14c | 232.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 23c | 202$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 26c | 189.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…4a1bbacked Yes | 15c | 173.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 25c | 161$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Yes | 37c | 156.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 27c | 152.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 141.86$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Yes | 23c | 135$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 28c | 134.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 25c | 131.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 77c | 121.52$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…6c1bbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 76c | 102.16$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 79c | 97.95$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed No | 77c | 86.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…4ee7backed Yes | 24c | 84.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 23c | 83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…dceabacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 67c | 74.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 79c | 55.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 78c | 53.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe850…f826backed Yes | 26c | 51.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 77c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 23c | 47.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 77c | 47.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 77c | 47.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed No | 70c | 44.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 23c | 44.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked No | 76c | 40.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 76c | 37.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…2c78backed No | 75c | 33.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…9ab4backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 77c | 32.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Yes | 35c | 29.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?this page
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-07-28?No won
- Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-07-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.