TailMyPicks
Market

Champions League · resolved market

Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-07-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$224,961
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$254,493

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,961 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes60c9,094$5,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,679.053839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No58c8,984$5,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,213.262433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked No54c7,724$4,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,197.222437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No72c5,625$4,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,067.410246.1%47 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…71dabacked Yes28c5,359$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,859.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No71c5,144$3,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,647.4916440.9%67 W · 97 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No75c4,572$3,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.734445.1%155 W · 189 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No75c4,430$3,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,302.4532847.9%157 W · 171 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No6c4,026$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.685145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd7…89aabacked No66c3,948$2,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,587.03366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes26c3,857$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,853.5691032.6%297 W · 613 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes32c3,776$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,553.8696837.4%362 W · 606 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c3,608$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.741,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Yes25c3,538$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,645.495529.1%16 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc0…7c44backed Yes24c3,094$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,340.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+311%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed No53c2,693$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.432142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No32c2,585$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.58040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes30c2,504$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.49754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No9c2,272$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.27812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-82.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94e0…625ebacked No37c2,258$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.931330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed No43c2,004$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8623043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+72.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c1,878$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.4666446.2%307 W · 357 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes30c1,833$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.867739%30 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes27c1,752$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.8510736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No72c1,672$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.8674935.4%265 W · 484 L-30.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No69c1,439$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.841,07134.8%373 W · 698 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes47c1,364$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.672347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes41c1,224$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.0818149.2%89 W · 92 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes38c1,202$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.494654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes26c1,154$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.852927.6%8 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes29c1,055$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.629749.5%48 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed No75c960$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c894.66$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.242,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Yes46c890.16$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.79944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36ab…d5a7backed No14c854.51$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.49933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes59c823.67$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.0910539%41 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No69c801.85$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.9634943.3%151 W · 198 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes49c780$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.22948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+31.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes26c769.23$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.6839849.2%196 W · 202 L+19.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes36c747.83$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.461437.5%230 W · 384 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Yes26c746$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.7714238%54 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No74c674.69$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.6961148.3%295 W · 316 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No65c639.75$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.437339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e6…794ebacked Yes30c625.56$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.89238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d2…208dbacked Yes26c614.23$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.821752.9%9 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.24per pick29cpaid+168.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed No74c526.15$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.82867.9%19 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.22per pick46cpaid+50%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes26c520$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.24332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+77.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked No75c517.62$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.912528%7 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-38.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x080e…78a5backed No9c509.6$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.692711.1%3 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-62.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2306470.3%45 W · 19 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Yes32c459.68$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.481850%9 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No61c440.29$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.426931.6%85 W · 184 L-22.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No72c438.98$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.8612551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No11c392.87$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.224540%18 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed No77c389.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002572%18 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.621729.4%5 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked No53c373.84$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.993138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes44c366.81$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.623522.9%8 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+101.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No77c355.84$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2743268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed No10c350$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed No12c350$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.53554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ff…6754backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.33540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.333844.7%17 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+49.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes25c306$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.514736.1%53 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No76c282.04$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3545452%236 W · 218 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9786…7f05backed Yes27c275.64$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.641560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+40.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes42c273.16$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.344942.9%21 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes35c267.34$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.617758.2%103 W · 74 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes24c262.5$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.52528%7 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes35c252.44$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.521060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No51c235.91$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9540143.4%174 W · 227 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes33c234.96$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.778250%41 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes26c225.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.025429.6%16 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No6c225.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.786937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes41c220$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.88741.4%36 W · 51 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked No75c220$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651560%9 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c212.29$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.1460041.8%251 W · 349 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Yes29c209$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.141450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f8…9ff4backed Yes48c208.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes28c207.96$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4212348.8%60 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No75c204.94$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1152246.7%244 W · 278 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes30c204.68$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.779123.1%21 W · 70 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d23…2d56backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes35c198.36$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.831556.5%178 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes26c193.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.081625%4 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes26c185$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.978337.3%31 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7bd…1d7cbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No76c166$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1616047.5%76 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes41c161.22$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1225245.2%114 W · 138 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c78…c49fbacked Yes28c160.71$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.71742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No37c154$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.746544.6%29 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed No25c142.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.55728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-49.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes28c142.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8612856.3%72 W · 56 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes30c141.04$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.731656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+72.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Yes26c135$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick34cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed7f…03f3backed Yes26c134.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.89520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No59c134.42$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.318155.6%45 W · 36 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No75c130.79$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.094163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ec7…4b43backed Yes42c130.03$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.96966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.