TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed7f…03f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2572%18 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$3.15
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$16.04
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$14.19
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62%+$7
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.07
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$72.68
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.39
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.53
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$5.9
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$34.71
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$30.26
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$18.06
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.93
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.03
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.44
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.37
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+102.9%+$13.51
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+123.1%+$13.67
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$7.07
Kai Havertz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.72
All 25 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-4.9wins-0.26per pick63cpaid-41.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.84
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$18.94
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.14
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.52
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.99
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.19
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$3
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.94
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.63
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$9.53
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
All 19 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$27.66
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.47
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.01
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$3.45
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.67
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+171.9%+$41.22
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.76
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$8.06
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)backed Los Angeles FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.05
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)backed Lillestrøm SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.