South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28d313ab15bfb8879eac85e6b5a7522cfbad361f647ffc98687e4075e0b8739c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SC Internacionalof CR Flamengo, SC Internacional
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked CR Flamengo | 24c | 4,342$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.08 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed CR Flamengo | 6c | 4,113$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.39 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed CR Flamengo | 23c | 3,129$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.73 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed SC Internacional | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed CR Flamengo | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed CR Flamengo | 11c | 2,673$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.21 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed SC Internacional | 76c | 1,530$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.35 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked CR Flamengo | 24c | 1,074$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.66 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked SC Internacional | 78c | 1,070$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.49 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed SC Internacional | 76c | 650.51$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…d089backed CR Flamengo | 17c | 312.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked CR Flamengo | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…178ebacked SC Internacional | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed SC Internacional | 76c | 98.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed7f…03f3backed CR Flamengo | 23c | 89.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked CR Flamengo | 24c | 64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked CR Flamengo | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SC Internacional | 76c | 45.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked CR Flamengo | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed SC Internacional | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SC Internacional | 77c | 24.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde63…99c1backed SC Internacional | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x327f…0641backed SC Internacional | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed SC Internacional | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334d…7acbbacked SC Internacional | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed SC Internacional | 78c | 13.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)this page
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: CR Flamengo O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: CR Flamengo O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: CR Flamengo O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 5.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: SC Internacional O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: SC Internacional O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.