South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ee91a6e0e777803e1cb3094ab4b6d74987003c997e3b8b10dfe5cb6b52f70e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 28c | 5,387$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.86 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 4c | 4,464$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.09 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 24c | 3,014$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.36 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 3c | 2,400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 35c | 2,290$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 13c | 2,193$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.42 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 68c | 1,861$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.97 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Under | 7c | 1,806$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Over | 49c | 1,598$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.84 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…302ebacked Under | 4c | 1,458$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under | 4c | 1,161$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 67c | 971.9$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.39 | 247 | 66%163 W · 84 L | +27.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 6c | 909.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 822.67$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.9 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…1e6ebacked Under | 22c | 800.91$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.99 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 34c | 795.55$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.77 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 46c | 533.22$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.66 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over | 70c | 416.08$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 4c | 411.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 70c | 393$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.9 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 378.5$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.97 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Under | 17c | 377.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…132cbacked Under | 5c | 333.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Under | 34c | 290.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 71c | 253.2$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…577ebacked Under | 26c | 226.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Over | 64c | 205.47$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 70c | 197.14$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 30c | 189.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Under | 27c | 166.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 69c | 137.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…08b6backed Under | 11c | 135.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 42c | 126.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 42c | 121.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 51c | 95.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…5166backed Over | 66c | 56.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 20 | 95%19 W · 1 L | +7.3wins | +0.36per pick | 59cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 69c | 54.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a0…e8b9backed Under | 33c | 40.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 52c | 36.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Under | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 59c | 35.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 198 | 41.9%83 W · 115 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…a0aabacked Under | 41c | 30.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under | 35c | 30.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbafe…874dbacked Over | 75c | 29.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…f6abbacked Over | 70c | 28.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 52c | 27.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 51c | 25.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 52c | 19.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd1…0604backed Over | 79c | 14.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: CR Flamengo O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: CR Flamengo O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: CR Flamengo O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 5.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: SC Internacional O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: SC Internacional O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.