TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,900
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,189

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,900 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over21c12,126$2,575 inLost-$2,575.491,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under77c5,270$4,047 inWon+$1,222.562,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over8c3,250$248 inLost-$248.323,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over17c1,288$222 inLost-$222.3875240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under73c620.26$453 inWon+$167.471,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over27c618$167 inLost-$166.8649136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under66c590.53$389 inWon+$201.35,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over27c359.88$97 inLost-$97.1719135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under65c305.36$200 inWon+$105.363243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Under74c135.14$100 inWon+$35.141566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over8c125.06$10 inLost-$104738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under66c65.12$43 inWon+$22.1446449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under68c62.49$42 inWon+$20.311,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over34c55.88$19 inLost-$18.911944.5%53 W · 66 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f7b…0769backed Under74c55$41 inWon+$14.31861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under80c48.95$39 inWon+$9.9555250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc230…cf59backed Under73c48.59$35 inWon+$13.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Under79c37.97$30 inWon+$7.977463.5%47 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Under80c37.5$30 inWon+$7.52748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over33c33.34$11 inLost-$10.981,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf83b…167dbacked Under73c29.99$22 inWon+$8.1560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under74c27.03$20 inWon+$7.032330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65fa…4c6abacked Under74c27.03$20 inWon+$7.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under79c23$18 inWon+$4.8372058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Under74c20.27$15 inWon+$5.274259.5%25 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-6.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.