TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,199
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,057

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,199 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes49c18,453$9,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,059.822,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No29c13,043$3,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,260.523073.3%22 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+55.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No40c10,526$4,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,315.878,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ad7…42aabacked No26c9,173$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,788.192948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes71c8,020$5,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,708.422,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes72c7,598$5,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,479.149136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes71c5,801$4,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,123.281,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No17c5,082$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,237.293,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes31c4,552$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.146412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes12c4,404$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.167925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c4,200$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,397.375,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes14c3,076$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.311,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No28c2,784$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,014.751,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed Yes11c2,766$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.996735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes13c2,676$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.9810649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes63c2,565$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.7328940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No27c2,224$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.2819447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No78c2,173$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.351,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Yes72c1,945$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.614858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba4f…b37bbacked No28c1,909$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.62862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c70…9168backed No27c1,887$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes13c1,715$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.33441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes74c1,627$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.0575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x895d…f2a3backed No28c1,600$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1522161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes15c1,598$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.5120036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No14c1,591$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.0114530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No27c1,471$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.083,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No27c1,437$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.361,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes71c1,410$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011565.2%75 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No29c1,319$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.451,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No80c1,318$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.1351945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Yes12c1,279$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.974852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80a2…5aa3backed Yes73c1,140$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No79c1,100$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.9948547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108139.5%32 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Yes73c977.44$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.532669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked No41c869.27$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.5414753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes12c850$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8799259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1ce0backed Yes69c724.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002564%16 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5016…1eebbacked Yes73c684.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500850%4 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No36c637.81$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.9795155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Yes14c567.86$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825646.4%26 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No35c563.52$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.5355250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked No30c531.4$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.984141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No73c529.62$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.416641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009714.4%14 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes18c526.3$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8412738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes71c520$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.242962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes13c499.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2942946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes38c458.81$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4145746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes9c449.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.431,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes60c443.66$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.223254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No68c442.95$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8621938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed No17c431.24$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.5923733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes73c427.77$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.274456.8%25 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes4c420.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.469920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes73c410.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005837.9%22 W · 36 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5a11…9becbacked Yes10c347.68$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.341241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes30c347.51$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3926835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Yes14c311.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4413748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No35c298.7$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.7446449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed No35c288.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.6464633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07ea…f3a4backed Yes73c287.67$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed Yes69c278.91$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.452564%16 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014446.5%67 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Yes73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004450%22 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes59c250.85$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1482040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes54c250.69$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.451,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Yes8c242.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5715625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No14c237.89$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5931136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes57c230$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1327656.6%43 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No30c229.98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.9810158.4%59 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e92…5280backed Yes73c219.18$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-73.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcdd2…4f62backed Yes72c215.82$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes14c207.14$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297814.1%11 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No46c202.62$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2269453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14640242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes72c199$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2838233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Yes72c197.87$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8225345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No27c178$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.941,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No30c169.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2914643.2%63 W · 83 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes73c168.86$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2776951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed Yes17c167.17$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.524751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No41c158.69$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.881,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c4d…b0edbacked Yes70c156.1$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes16c152.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255123.5%12 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec1e…0d9cbacked Yes16c149.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.871963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No43c146.16$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8763061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed No48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.837454.1%40 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ab5…db66backed Yes20c145$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+109%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes17c140$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.85721.1%12 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes74c135$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.93852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes16c134$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0818359%108 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes75c133.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No25c133.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10041654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71b2…7a4bbacked Yes75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-72.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Yes74c132.77$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2511457%65 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No26c120.49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1618247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No52c111.28$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.141,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa77b…9bbcbacked Yes58c104.86$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6140%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.