TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-07-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$188,977
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$201,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,977 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes48c10,831$5,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,228.858,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd362…b180backed Yes37c10,267$3,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,791.571618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-71.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed No54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,599.992065%13 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No63c9,482$5,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,508.3131349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c92…4e7cbacked Yes4c8,000$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c7,041$4,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,083.255,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes6c6,825$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.752,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Yes9c6,149$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.386553.8%35 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes22c5,110$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.9523733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked No59c5,109$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.421353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes10c3,361$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.351,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes3c3,338$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4524665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed No50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50011855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Yes44c2,769$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.1619155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes30c2,717$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.348818.2%16 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed No77c2,700$2,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.672142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No79c2,647$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.571,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked No80c2,429$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.592462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No56c2,322$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.1530847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No75c1,939$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.231,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes10c1,898$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.781,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed Yes10c1,801$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.066735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes5c1,596$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.469920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked No44c1,420$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.817925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed No46c1,397$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.298139.5%32 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No69c1,354$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.312740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes24c1,311$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.9110933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No53c1,279$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.9626835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked Yes67c1,168$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.471675%12 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No68c1,138$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.261,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed No74c1,002$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.251952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Yes62c992.25$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.1321538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No73c889.01$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.3289846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes3c833.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2564633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No49c766.51$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.6942946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes24c733.98$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9612737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes2c713.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.266412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes49c705.11$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.5595155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e75…80ffbacked No51c693.1$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.571060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb66e…47c5backed No47c577$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.091838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes57c560.56$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.4628940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked No77c519.64$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.87450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…c687backed Yes31c504.79$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.962520%5 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-60.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes10c501.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.943,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes27c498.76$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.545746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No75c478.27$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.721,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed No53c455.41$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.12263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+35%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked No40c446.68$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.133842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No73c409.71$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11120665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes59c400$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23410364.1%66 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Yes34c394.15$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5513748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed No67c377.53$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3111338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe37c…ef29backed Yes73c354.76$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3312738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes10c326.1$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6119711.2%22 W · 175 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No59c325$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5846449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Yes10c316.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes27c309.15$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9423254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No60c288$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9820055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes50c277$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3111350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed No50c274.97$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.495837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No73c273.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9921765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Yes30c256.24$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.369641.7%40 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked No40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503923.1%9 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253040%12 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+30.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x361a…ea72backed Yes5c243.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.35955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6739…132cbacked Yes22c243.55$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.883836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes47c230.72$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4421044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe3…1f2abacked Yes56c213.6$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.931573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8249…9169backed Yes7c210.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked No64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed No78c198.44$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.669244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes51c198$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes10c189$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.99551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes45c185.75$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0312065%78 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes9c185$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0548547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No72c184.7$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.871060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d19…2410backed No55c181.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.811631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-44%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed No48c179.92$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.297745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No71c160.77$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8520036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No71c159.89$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.737540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa708…4effbacked Yes58c153.85$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes8c145.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.623,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked No33c145.24$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.434452.3%23 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No65c139$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.618359%108 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes10c132$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7210875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes54c131.1$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.796040%24 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c9…9247backed Yes25c129.32$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No49c119.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.214654.1%79 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes22c112.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2514530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes46c112.76$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5231136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c8…8892backed Yes10c110$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+58.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c4d…a427backed Yes56c103.58$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.91070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.612338.2%47 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.118631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.757241.7%30 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick22cpaid+94.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed No46c99.65$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.411662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed No50c94.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8613850%69 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.