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South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Santos FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,691
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,187

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,691 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No78c14,081$10,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,992.812,36534.5%817 W · 1,548 L-30.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c10,858$2,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,031.898,17548.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L+27.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes19c10,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,10032242.5%137 W · 185 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No70c5,161$3,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,618.5475240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No78c5,121$4,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,011.131,50245.9%690 W · 812 L-18.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No20c4,747$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.4920837%77 W · 131 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes26c4,145$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,062.496827.9%19 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed Yes65c3,545$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.26735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes18c2,400$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.962,00451.3%1,028 W · 976 L+41.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No2c2,377$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4310718.7%20 W · 87 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+0.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes79c2,119$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.0854245.4%246 W · 296 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No34c1,840$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.555,82145.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L+97.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No41c1,824$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.1114040%56 W · 84 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No9c1,600$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.541,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes29c1,562$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.542,59839.3%1,022 W · 1,576 L-26.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No43c1,060$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.4938939.6%154 W · 235 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes79c1,014$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.3650546.7%236 W · 269 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No31c669.41$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0416641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No38c598.98$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.6228634.6%99 W · 187 L-16.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No53c598.91$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.151,32450.1%663 W · 661 L-14.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes26c513.02$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.9796055.7%535 W · 425 L+30.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b18…577ebacked No2c511$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-72.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes25c493.16$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.3114753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes71c485.42$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.597062.9%44 W · 26 L+7.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes75c484.28$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.075952.5%31 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes78c419.36$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.262339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f46…7a71backed Yes76c411.66$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.45785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes78c400$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9013137.4%49 W · 82 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No29c385$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0935946.5%167 W · 192 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf958…31b3backed Yes19c368.42$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.422152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No62c322.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.521,39352.6%733 W · 660 L+53.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No79c321.36$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.683,80738.4%1,463 W · 2,344 L-29.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No80c318.8$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.042,34651.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5120…b26bbacked Yes47c310.86$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.63944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes42c291.3$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.5512464.5%80 W · 44 L+0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes24c283.33$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.2570153.2%373 W · 328 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed No34c271$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1424833.1%82 W · 166 L-1.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes20c239.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.855250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf214…91e1backed Yes20c239.2$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.36425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No34c229.79$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.991,46556.8%832 W · 633 L+55.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked No38c200$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.866144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes19c199.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.9919711.2%22 W · 175 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Yes77c195.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.379244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b42…8086backed Yes52c188.38$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.421353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+46.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed No22c183.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.386040%24 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No21c183.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4245046.2%208 W · 242 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes34c171.94$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.310933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No25c156$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,33956.9%762 W · 577 L+55.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes65c153.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8425366.4%168 W · 85 L+27.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+28.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4abb…d858backed Yes77c146$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.583073.3%22 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes23c144.59$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8964633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No64c139.61$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3599259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Yes18c120$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.425345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes19c113.71$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.631,48437.3%554 W · 930 L+3.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No72c112.8$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.641,27156%712 W · 559 L+71.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xac64…866ebacked No21c111.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234955.1%27 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No44c110.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1946449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3272…e542backed No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae22…8794backed Yes18c100$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+61%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes18c90.42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1410426.9%28 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No41c86.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.331,05549.3%520 W · 535 L+14.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b3…1b3ebacked Yes78c76.6$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes26c74.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3265761.3%403 W · 254 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes34c73.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5322933.6%77 W · 152 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d54…45ebbacked Yes19c66.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.19666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick25cpaid+179.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No32c65.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7631647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No20c64.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9729345.4%133 W · 160 L-23.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked No41c62.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.353630.6%11 W · 25 L-7.4wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-43.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0f25…e9a5backed Yes23c61.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.183647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca1f…d282backed No67c60.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.46471.9%46 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc909…5c2fbacked Yes77c58.44$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.44666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Yes50c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.57334.2%25 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No61c51$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.978551.8%44 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c4d…a427backed Yes79c50.59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.621163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51,55745.1%702 W · 855 L+19.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2dd…61dcbacked Yes28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2df7…7f76backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+80%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e8…b560backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick21cpaid+79.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No53c49.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5829848%143 W · 155 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4359…c338backed Yes42c48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.771283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Yes25c46.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9819164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No24c44.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.84296.9%2 W · 27 L-5.8wins-0.20per pick27cpaid-81.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked No38c42.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.174542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes26c37.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8834365.9%226 W · 117 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No41c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3127348.7%133 W · 140 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed No69c24.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6310766.4%71 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes63c20.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.67862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.96274.2%46 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Yes61c16.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.596350.8%32 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6332…4576backed No74c16.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.49366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0d…9d1abacked Yes68c15.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Yes76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.62060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.