TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5d0d…9d1a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 53 out of 100; worst F1 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT6355.6%35 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
National Bank Open: Iva Jovic vs Alina Korneevabacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+73%+$39.05
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.63
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.47
National Bank Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$27.73
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.57
National Bank Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
Set Handicap: Blockx (-1.5) vs Assche (+1.5)backed Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
ITF Las Palmas: Kristina Novak vs Carmen Gallardo Guevarabacked Kristina Novak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.36
Tampere: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Otto Virtanenbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$29.82
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Branko Djuric vs Pedro Vives Marcosbacked Pedro Vives Marcos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8
The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Ankita Raina vs Ekaterina Ovcharenkobacked Ankita Raina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$16.85
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Christopher O'Connell vs Andres Martinbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.92
Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderibacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+197.2%+$194.99
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Edas Butvilasbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs Michael Zhengbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.35
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Cruz Hewitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$17.8
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gastonbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.46
Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+127%+$20.82
Hamburg European Open: Paula Badosa vs Panna Udvardybacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.37
Generali Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+28%+$4.08
Hamburg European Open: Simona Waltert vs Mayar Sherifbacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.07
Estoril Open: Hugo Gaston vs Titouan Droguetbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$24.97
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$9.68
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$37.17
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$9.03
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 0 Curaçao?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$14.8
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+176.3%+$267.9
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$14.77
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+317.8%+$66.66
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: Ghana 2 - 0 Panama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 1 Panama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 0 Panama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.54
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.98
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.89
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$244.68
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$111.89
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.24
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$9.92
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$21.97
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.86
Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.9
All 25 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.9
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$7.3
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$10.19
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.