TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$266,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$262,868

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,178 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under71c36,895$26,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,769.4564446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Over9c28,215$2,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,545.319627.1%26 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Over23c14,572$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,289.614544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over22c13,508$3,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,022.8611238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Over19c9,578$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.247259.7%43 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over30c9,114$2,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,693.642,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2d4…8713backed Over25c7,305$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,826.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e3…109bbacked Over45c5,729$2,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,553.82623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over31c4,874$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.754,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under41c4,140$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,435.342,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f13…6c78backed Under75c4,106$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Over12c3,938$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.8132031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under70c3,821$2,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.5727931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c3,730$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,951.363,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over27c3,569$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.8159230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under61c3,457$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.822,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabc2…fd47backed Under75c3,271$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c3,246$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.234,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over15c3,117$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.872,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over67c2,900$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.9911561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over35c2,823$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.1244130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under65c2,805$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.1230642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c2d…646bbacked Over29c2,753$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.72633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1017…c669backed Under76c2,476$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.54858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b52…8ceebacked Over7c2,449$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.412941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+80.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over17c2,147$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.2538526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over27c2,054$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.033,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Over57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14010471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Over14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28040239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under62c2,000$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.3213351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcab9…baf6backed Over12c1,873$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.946855.9%38 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Over27c1,862$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.0937650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x735c…55edbacked Under74c1,744$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.69835.7%35 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under34c1,732$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.631,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over30c1,675$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under62c1,590$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9533843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over26c1,538$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over28c1,522$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.062,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over5c1,335$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6644539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over19c1,309$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.316656.6%94 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over18c1,237$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.7551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Over7c1,216$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9714856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Over26c1,214$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.158728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under45c1,132$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.2423857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf99e…4d03backed Over5c1,098$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.91147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under76c1,091$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.767047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over73c1,089$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79530220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc018…8997backed Over19c1,039$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-67.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Over51c1,023$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.7217447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebfd…cba6backed Over25c1,009$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.944845.8%22 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under74c1,001$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.891,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under73c917$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.594,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Under54c902.84$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.78871.6%63 W · 25 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over12c895.64$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.761,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under34c843.93$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.8435549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under61c816.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6727951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Over23c810.81$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.196728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over14c805.51$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0312559.2%74 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under50c730.99$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.1663151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over26c681.12$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.125125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x279d…5e89backed Over14c635.9$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.925747.4%27 W · 30 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick29cpaid+46%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over18c618.51$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2727255.9%152 W · 120 L+36.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+49.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5d0d…9d1abacked Under60c606.84$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.682552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under74c600$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15637451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Under74c600$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15614051.4%72 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over36c545.57$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.6511632.8%38 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under75c510$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.514564.1%93 W · 52 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under70c500.04$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.013,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Under74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1308949.4%44 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Over16c484.54$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9118642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x630c…f294backed Over24c401$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.583839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1963818.4%7 W · 31 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-58.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Over28c399.25$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.796836.8%25 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over30c395.6$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.687136.6%26 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22cc…740cbacked Over26c388.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009033.3%30 W · 60 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3f…1120backed Over12c388$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under70c381.28$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.383,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Over4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15547.4%4 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+123.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac60…4c8fbacked Over8c353.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under73c342$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.342,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under74c341.12$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.132,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6cd…acebbacked Under74c338.87$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.11560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over80c338.51$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.3284738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Over16c329.04$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0513751.1%70 W · 67 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…925dbacked Over11c328.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352560%15 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under71c301$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.285563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Under60c299.99$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5215655.1%86 W · 70 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over28c295.97$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8211027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under75c282$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.323,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over7c278.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Over11c275.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014526.2%38 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Over18c257.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1820253.5%108 W · 94 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Over12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304450%22 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1449…a618backed Over19c245.23$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.37616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick11cpaid-66.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45ba…7786backed Over13c237.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.81770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under74c236$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6284844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over75c212.76$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16055153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.