Fifa International · resolved market
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dc6afd5adb9616cb36f6ca01f19080b559ad72ab77b347f18ebf22239fa7e57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 5c | 88,775$4,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,408.37 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 5c | 4,000$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 7c | 3,601$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.95 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Over | 1c | 2,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…8997backed Over | 13c | 2,234$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 5c | 2,165$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 8c | 1,815$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.19 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 6c | 1,612$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 5c | 1,326$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Over | 5c | 1,239$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 6c | 1,131$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 6c | 917.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 5c | 884.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 7c | 834.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 10c | 810$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 6c | 804.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 256 | 39.1%100 W · 156 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d39…c90abacked Over | 9c | 695.42$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +624.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Over | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…26bcbacked Over | 10c | 484.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaac0…704dbacked Over | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 389.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbc…1fb5backed Over | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 5c | 331$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Over | 5c | 290.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed Over | 10c | 281.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 5c | 259.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 6c | 234.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked Over | 9c | 222.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Over | 11c | 192.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba3…4db1backed Over | 21c | 185.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 20c | 182.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 80c | 176.3$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 75c | 168.31$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Over | 10c | 152.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 20c | 126$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…0986backed Over | 11c | 106.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Over | 14c | 76.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…5468backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 75c | 40.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7020backed Under | 75c | 25.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under | 75c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5this page
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 0.5Over won
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5Over won
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5Over won
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5Under won
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Denmark (-1.5)Ukraine won
- Spread: Denmark (-2.5)Ukraine won
- Spread: Ukraine (-1.5)Denmark won
- Spread: Ukraine (-2.5)Denmark won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.