Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Denmark (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd532bf2fead1732d8dcde24f0d51bd9f0f4b8f0ebc016688ffcebba4a32a7d6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ukraineof Denmark, Ukraine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ukraine | 50c | 5,211$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,591.71 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Denmark | 58c | 2,906$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.79 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Denmark | 43c | 1,999$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.53 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Denmark | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ukraine | 49c | 1,242$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.32 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Denmark | 29c | 700.1$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.26 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Ukraine | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Ukraine | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Ukraine | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Denmark | 14c | 576.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.63 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Ukraine | 56c | 523.2$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.44 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Denmark | 48c | 521.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Ukraine | 75c | 384.57$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…6ad1backed Ukraine | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +284.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Denmark | 47c | 273.11$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.56 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eae…f9d1backed Ukraine | 71c | 271.11$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ukraine | 57c | 265.89$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Ukraine | 40c | 232.67$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.26 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Denmark | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Denmark | 28c | 214.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Ukraine | 72c | 183.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Denmark | 57c | 174.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Denmark | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ukraine | 51c | 151.14$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Ukraine | 43c | 149.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.77 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93f…4160backed Ukraine | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Denmark | 27c | 107.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8b4cbacked Denmark | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ukraine | 77c | 85.78$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked Denmark | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Ukraine | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3869…2d67backed Denmark | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Denmark | 31c | 67.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Ukraine | 70c | 59.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ukraine | 69c | 58.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Ukraine | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed Ukraine | 71c | 49.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Denmark | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Denmark | 45c | 44.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Ukraine | 73c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…0296backed Denmark | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Ukraine | 79c | 36.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…0614backed Denmark | 47c | 36.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d52…df50backed Denmark | 29c | 35.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Ukraine | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Ukraine | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Denmark | 77c | 29.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 333 | 45.3%151 W · 182 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…d1d3backed Ukraine | 71c | 27.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Ukraine | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd44…1e6ebacked Ukraine | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Ukraine | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…6d5abacked Ukraine | 57c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Denmark | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Ukraine | 59c | 19.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Ukraine | 71c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 311 | 49.5%154 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Denmark (-1.5)this page
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 0.5Over won
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5Over won
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5Over won
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5Under won
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 4.5Under won
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Denmark (-2.5)Ukraine won
- Spread: Ukraine (-1.5)Denmark won
- Spread: Ukraine (-2.5)Denmark won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.