TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$234,342
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$246,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,342 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Under0c76,785$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9745421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Under8c15,338$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.169627.1%26 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over48c10,636$5,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,487.9659230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under53c7,563$4,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,008.7964446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc018…8997backed Under15c6,759$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-67.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over51c5,854$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,854.4613544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under24c5,724$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.873,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over52c5,428$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,607.6645428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Over77c4,545$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.4521946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under55c4,514$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007640.8%31 W · 45 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c3,623$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.152,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over67c3,368$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.1830220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c3,307$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.241,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over52c2,910$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.946550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under49c2,765$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.591,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under39c2,354$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.792,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under51c2,101$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.141,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c2,092$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.7574034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under49c2,040$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.625537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0201428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked Over47c1,892$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.117851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over48c1,659$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.989443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under52c1,620$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.412146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under52c1,566$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.891,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c1,465$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.864,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over49c1,390$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.93,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Under37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over50c1,038$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.6215141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under52c1,023$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.094,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Under55c972$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.64238.1%16 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c958.44$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.13,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under49c879.73$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.0744539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over46c860.2$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.9114433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under48c848.58$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.5463151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c842.19$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.13,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Under4c828.21$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.556352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked Under52c701.92$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36510863%68 W · 40 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under51c692.31$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.2441451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under51c692.31$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.2435549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under49c625$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.1813643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under54c559.02$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9843737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f85…4834backed Over51c549.02$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.024143.9%18 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2608949.4%44 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over49c499.16$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5776551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over47c480.85$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.8521747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under52c449.95$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.9731553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under8c428.58$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7446012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under30c415.18$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2944435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c6…52bcbacked Over46c414.28$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.714949%24 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Under52c411.92$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.211065.5%72 W · 38 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20414146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Over48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20810748.6%52 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59ba…f6a2backed Under6c384.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.451010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-82.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over74c352.35$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.712,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c333.62$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.233,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under4c320.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8611632.8%38 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3d…f757backed Under10c303.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.023151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under10c300$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.118642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14435251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under52c299.8$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.441857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under51c298.53$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.951,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under21c282.39$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.381,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under51c277.77$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.661,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Under12c243.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9126330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Under8c239.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8517217.4%30 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under52c230.77$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205232.7%17 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d39…c90abacked Under5c230.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.541010%1 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+624.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed Over46c217$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1814554.5%79 W · 66 L+12.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Over49c215.76$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0417145%77 W · 94 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed Over47c212.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.985856.9%33 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3328258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over47c208.27$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.4413253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3548…0ebbbacked Over52c200.56$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.274946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008041.3%33 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3123544.7%105 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under52c187.52$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9784844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under54c187$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.988549.4%42 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aba…74c0backed Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006256.5%35 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce1…2f49backed Under12c181.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over65c180.48$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.178646.5%40 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under52c169.23$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8862452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over50c166.25$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.131163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5116547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c7…7070backed Under10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.454240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over80c147.25$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under55c146.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3317447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadbc…8af3backed Over48c145$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.43423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-44.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over67c141.87$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8235658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under52c141.01$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.488,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010540%42 W · 63 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over68c137.38$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.192,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xdf45…ea2cbacked Under54c136.57$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.759047.8%43 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2666…ade6backed Over52c132.98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.836346%29 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0527…a978backed Under50c130.34$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.179359.1%55 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7dd…96cbbacked Over52c128.85$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.851464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e1d…4d41backed Under13c116$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.541668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+336.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under50c109.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.61,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.