Fifa International · resolved market
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a37f80f29163ab485b30b039822e6c8e5ff8ec892a851820ba8937d87f49905
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 0c | 10,100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 8c | 2,780$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.78 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 14c | 2,472$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.13 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 7c | 2,310$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.04 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 7c | 1,688$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.18 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 6c | 1,552$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.78 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 10c | 1,254$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 32c | 1,097$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.92 | 306 | 42.8%131 W · 175 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…d21fbacked Under | 8c | 1,036$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…e35bbacked Under | 8c | 1,006$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…33a1backed Under | 1c | 1,006$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…50e5backed Under | 8c | 994.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 24cpaid | +292.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…041fbacked Under | 8c | 992.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…07f7backed Under | 8c | 980$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…07a6backed Under | 8c | 897.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…04e8backed Under | 8c | 869.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…080dbacked Under | 12c | 850.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.39 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 52c | 724.05$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.92 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 6c | 716.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed Under | 4c | 497.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +152%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce6…9d69backed Under | 7c | 267.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbff…e8e7backed Under | 9c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…6761backed Under | 14c | 189.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Under | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Over | 70c | 68.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7020backed Over | 70c | 30.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 0.5this page
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5Over won
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5Over won
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5Under won
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 4.5Under won
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Denmark (-1.5)Ukraine won
- Spread: Denmark (-2.5)Ukraine won
- Spread: Ukraine (-1.5)Denmark won
- Spread: Ukraine (-2.5)Denmark won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.