TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,054
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,054 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Over9c9,000$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.2774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over6c6,454$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.5344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over7c6,210$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.838526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over34c5,550$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.4545421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over9c5,360$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.3735549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Over8c5,038$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.6119825.3%50 W · 148 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Over7c3,839$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.3332031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc018…8997backed Over12c3,581$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.69520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-67.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under52c3,000$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.9913351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over12c2,206$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.6959230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Over13c1,737$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.2814526.2%38 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over38c1,347$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50721747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Over11c1,244$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7518642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over14c1,225$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7689443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over10c1,152$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.143,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c1,135$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.72,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48015141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c907.44$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.483,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8e1…77acbacked Under65c900.77$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.77850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x484d…d0d9backed Over44c847.99$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under57c837.42$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.7763151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over8c750$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6025639.1%100 W · 156 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over11c686$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2718926.5%50 W · 139 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over11c655.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.921,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under80c612.63$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5311648.3%56 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c2d…646bbacked Over39c607$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over50c601.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28837451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Under51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29414051.4%72 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0a6…2a95backed Over11c537.09$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599552.6%50 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10025537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over11c499.52$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7311632.8%38 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under58c482.95$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.911,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…34c0backed Under51c423.76$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.648138.3%31 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over24c420.11$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8387651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over49c399.96$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9852455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4d39…c90abacked Over6c394.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.021010%1 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+624.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over21c383.85$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9525865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over9c361.16$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.473,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0497…c5e3backed Over10c351$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.84835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…6e17backed Over16c345.87$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7421362%132 W · 81 L+0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c6…52bcbacked Over51c310.31$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.854949%24 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Under53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14115655.1%86 W · 70 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c278.95$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.041,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b52…8ceebacked Over26c270.31$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+80.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x831c…ce7dbacked Over62c259.54$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9411044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…0986backed Over11c221.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.375040%20 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over27c218.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5328964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x9689…7bb3backed Over40c215.76$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.622339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over10c212.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0384844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…5ac3backed Over11c205.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-84%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0698…732bbacked Over11c205.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.58147.1%1 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick29cpaid-78.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Over10c202.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Over22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4426534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Over6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220031%62 W · 138 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under53c199.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9917255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over49c199.65$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8319746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3386…be96backed Over12c194.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Over22c184.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9924840.3%100 W · 148 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under76c182.45$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7916753.9%90 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98cb…26bcbacked Over11c171.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over14c170$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.830836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Over18c165.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2114335.7%51 W · 92 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over22c162$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.641,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x306f…aa99backed Over23c140$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.26636.4%24 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…4575backed Over30c137.77$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.337245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under51c134.75$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0341451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Over14c123$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2213351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x232e…e9fdbacked Over48c106.95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.271637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under59c106.81$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0415543.9%68 W · 87 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under53c106.38$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5038745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf511…bfe4backed Over17c105.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1814579.3%115 W · 30 L+17.0wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+13.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over49c102.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under64c102.58$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7650833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Over23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.218649.5%92 W · 94 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017145%77 W · 94 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc456…8996backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5087…2d85backed Over12c95.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.881020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011939.5%47 W · 72 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under44c89.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3223857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over44c88.64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3928240.8%115 W · 167 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce6…9d69backed Over13c86.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.218544.9%83 W · 102 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9209…dc9bbacked Over35c80.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44e6…24f3backed Under51c80.39$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3915845.6%72 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc57…24aebacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Under65c75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.259653.1%51 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under52c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3690840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe7dd…96cbbacked Over39c70.47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.71464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Under71c65$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8520652.9%109 W · 97 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over40c64.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2650450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa96…fafcbacked Over48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under61c62.47$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5829740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ae1…f481backed Over48c61.31$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.432339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.260752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ebe…17b9backed Under74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.85356.6%30 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a98…3f93backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over50c58.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3131554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.