Fifa International · resolved market
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3617e1b1c8f57b3feb7a128f8ac6add7b8d313ac650de28a414bdb55133e06c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 9c | 9,000$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.27 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 6c | 6,454$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.53 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 7c | 6,210$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.8 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 34c | 5,550$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.45 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 9c | 5,360$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.37 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Over | 8c | 5,038$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.61 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Over | 7c | 3,839$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.33 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…8997backed Over | 12c | 3,581$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.99 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 12c | 2,206$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.69 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked Over | 13c | 1,737$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.28 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 38c | 1,347$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 11c | 1,244$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.75 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 14c | 1,225$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.76 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 10c | 1,152$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.14 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 1,135$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.7 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 907.44$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.48 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e1…77acbacked Under | 65c | 900.77$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484d…d0d9backed Over | 44c | 847.99$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 57c | 837.42$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.77 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 256 | 39.1%100 W · 156 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 11c | 686$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 11c | 655.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 80c | 612.63$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.53 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…646bbacked Over | 39c | 607$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 50c | 601.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…2a95backed Over | 11c | 537.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 11c | 499.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 482.95$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.91 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed Under | 51c | 423.76$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.64 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 24c | 420.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 49c | 399.96$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.98 | 524 | 55%288 W · 236 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d39…c90abacked Over | 6c | 394.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +624.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 21c | 383.85$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 9c | 361.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Over | 10c | 351$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…6e17backed Over | 16c | 345.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 213 | 62%132 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…52bcbacked Over | 51c | 310.31$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.85 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 156 | 55.1%86 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 278.95$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.04 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b52…8ceebacked Over | 26c | 270.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x831c…ce7dbacked Over | 62c | 259.54$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.94 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…0986backed Over | 11c | 221.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 27c | 218.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…7bb3backed Over | 40c | 215.76$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 10c | 212.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Over | 11c | 205.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…732bbacked Over | 11c | 205.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Over | 10c | 202.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Over | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Over | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 49c | 199.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3386…be96backed Over | 12c | 194.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 22c | 184.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 248 | 40.3%100 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Under | 76c | 182.45$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…26bcbacked Over | 11c | 171.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 14c | 170$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Over | 18c | 165.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 22c | 162$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…aa99backed Over | 23c | 140$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Over | 30c | 137.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 51c | 134.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 14c | 123$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232e…e9fdbacked Over | 48c | 106.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 59c | 106.81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 53c | 106.38$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed Over | 17c | 105.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 49c | 102.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 64c | 102.58$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5087…2d85backed Over | 12c | 95.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Under | 44c | 89.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 238 | 57.6%137 W · 101 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 44c | 88.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce6…9d69backed Over | 13c | 86.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Over | 35c | 80.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Under | 51c | 80.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 158 | 45.6%72 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Under | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dd…96cbbacked Over | 39c | 70.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Under | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 40c | 64.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…fafcbacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff57…1802backed Under | 61c | 62.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…f481backed Over | 48c | 61.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebe…17b9backed Under | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 50c | 58.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 4.5this page
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 0.5Over won
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5Over won
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5Over won
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5Under won
- Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Denmark (-1.5)Ukraine won
- Spread: Denmark (-2.5)Ukraine won
- Spread: Ukraine (-1.5)Denmark won
- Spread: Ukraine (-2.5)Denmark won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.