TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Denmark (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Ukraineof Denmark, Ukraine
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,988
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,661

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,988 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Denmark22c2,245$490 inLost-$489.562,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ukraine73c1,920$1,394 inWon+$526.014,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Denmark2c1,000$20 inLost-$2026330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Denmark46c441.07$203 inLost-$202.896432.8%21 W · 43 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Denmark17c299$51 inLost-$50.8311632.8%38 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0542…0a81backed Denmark48c208.33$100 inLost-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Ukraine56c180$101 inWon+$79.214146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Denmark18c166.67$30 inLost-$3052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce6…9d69backed Denmark12c135.1$17 inLost-$16.8618544.9%83 W · 102 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Denmark44c132.92$58 inLost-$58.483,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Ukraine80c125$100 inWon+$253542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Ukraine54c100$54 inWon+$4621166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb48…6ad1backed Ukraine54c76$41 inWon+$34.962458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+284.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Denmark21c74.71$16 inLost-$15.6924935.3%88 W · 161 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Ukraine54c41.76$23 inWon+$19.0863151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Ukraine53c32$17 inWon+$15.0431149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.