Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf56ebdd21c0479428c6f4de88b13c6e798777728aa141edeb0f091a384855629

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $110,708
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $141,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,708 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3e73…c4ecbacked Under	0c	10,303$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	50	24%12 W · 38 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	18cpaid	+124.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Under	8c	6,661$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.55	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	12c	5,473$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.94	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over	76c	4,004$3,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$967.57	115	61.7%71 W · 44 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	21c	3,063$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$638.83	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	22c	2,309$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.07	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Under	1c	2,137$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.88	190	38.9%74 W · 116 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x259c…b11ebacked Under	26c	2,090$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.39	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over	77c	2,089$1,609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.95	38	73.7%28 W · 10 L	+5.0wins	+0.13per pick	61cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	24c	1,924$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.09	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	15c	1,905$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.17	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	24c	1,775$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.06	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	25c	1,471$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.77	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over	75c	1,465$1,097 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.56	148	66.9%99 W · 49 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3b…5a53backed Over	74c	1,385$1,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.17	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	67cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Over	76c	1,235$943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.26	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	26c	1,224$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.65	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccfc…678ebacked Under	1c	1,170$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+85.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbebf…4e07backed Under	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	12c	940.04$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.39	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	26c	908.84$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.75	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under	10c	896.73$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.67	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	75c	887$668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.91	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	76c	881.57$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.58	254	55.9%142 W · 112 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over	74c	675.68$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.68	282	58.2%164 W · 118 L	+10.0wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	24c	671$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.04	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbff…e8e7backed Under	3c	621$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.53	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over	76c	600$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	374	51.6%193 W · 181 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Over	75c	600$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	140	51.4%72 W · 68 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over	73c	585.82$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.11	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under	15c	414.87$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.39	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Under	3c	400$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	200	31%62 W · 138 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce1…2f49backed Under	13c	329.92$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over	77c	324.68$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.68	112	52.7%59 W · 53 L	-10.1wins	-0.09per pick	62cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under	15c	257.27$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.71	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over	73c	242.63$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.51	418	57.9%242 W · 176 L	+14.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under	27c	222.22$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Over	74c	200$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.43	219	55.3%121 W · 98 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x484d…d0d9backed Over	73c	200$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Over	74c	197.36$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.31	266	47%125 W · 141 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa96…fafcbacked Over	75c	180.17$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.04	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under	27c	160.96$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.46	413	44.1%182 W · 231 L	-16.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fd5…feb0backed Over	77c	144.88$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.32	145	50.3%73 W · 72 L	+9.5wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Under	28c	142.86$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	257	27.2%70 W · 187 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x004c…ab0cbacked Over	74c	136.06$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.38	111	70.3%78 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	69cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a3c…84c5backed Over	76c	132.01$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.68	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	69cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36a3…5b2dbacked Over	77c	129.87$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.87	106	57.5%61 W · 45 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	25c	129.16$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.68	1,688	54.4%918 W · 770 L	+31.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Over	75c	128$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	109	48.6%53 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under	24c	125$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.34	397	46.3%184 W · 213 L	-28.9wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Over	73c	106.85$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.85	40	62.5%25 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over	74c	100$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	183	71%130 W · 53 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf064…54a4backed Over	73c	100$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	-3.7wins	-0.08per pick	66cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Over	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	144	45.8%66 W · 78 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over	74c	95.75$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.75	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	18c	94.77$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	25c	76.9$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.48	908	40.9%371 W · 537 L	-64.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	23c	76.69$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.64	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce6…9d69backed Under	26c	75.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	185	44.9%83 W · 102 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	25c	75$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Under	17c	69$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.73	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0d1…82b1backed Over	73c	68.49$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.49	65	56.9%37 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over	74c	67.92$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.66	145	64.1%93 W · 52 L	+10.1wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Under	27c	66.67$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf94c…8a42backed Under	26c	60.23$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.66	30	50%15 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	23c	59.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c8…e1aabacked Over	77c	51.95$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.95	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	26c	49.48$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.62	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under	24c	46$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.04	266	31.2%83 W · 183 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf945…6c15backed Over	73c	44.44$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	52	75%39 W · 13 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf17a…e44dbacked Over	73c	41.1$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	47	63.8%30 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf44d…54febacked Over	73c	41.1$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+62.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under	29c	40.03$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.61	203	30.5%62 W · 141 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cea…371bbacked Over	73c	33$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.91	68	51.5%35 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x499c…2f8ebacked Over	74c	32.43$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.43	55	78.2%43 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	72cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over	74c	31.84$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.34	315	50.8%160 W · 155 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	74c	31.49$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.19	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe906…aa69backed Over	73c	27.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	96	60.4%58 W · 38 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38dd…bb12backed Over	73c	27.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	63	58.7%37 W · 26 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf535…4103backed Over	73c	27.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	67	65.7%44 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over	74c	27$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.02	271	54.6%148 W · 123 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa90d…ef0ebacked Over	76c	25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb259…56c7backed Over	74c	24.32$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-5.3wins	-0.41per pick	72cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x2503…8285backed Over	73c	21.92$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.92	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over	73c	20.55$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.55	100	68%68 W · 32 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	69cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5this page
Denmark vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 0.5Over won
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5Over won
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5Under won
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 4.5Under won
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Denmark (-1.5)Ukraine won
Spread: Denmark (-2.5)Ukraine won
Spread: Ukraine (-1.5)Denmark won
Spread: Ukraine (-2.5)Denmark won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event