TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc185…7020

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT3860.5%23 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+41%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.27
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$5.14
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+182.1%+$28.42
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.59
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.6
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.95
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.82
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$35
Spread: Texas Rangers (-8.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+642.2%+$104.4
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$67.74
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.82
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.73
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$23.27
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.61
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$28.86
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.52
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.31
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.02
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$26.45
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$24.72
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+27%+$4.25
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 Week of July 27 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.14
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$10.22
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of July 6 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$14.75
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.97
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+147.4%+$105.99
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$42.24
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$16.47
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$8.17
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.07
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$84.35
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $79 on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.61
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$12.32
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of May 25 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.32
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of May 25 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$18.17
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of May 25 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$30.54
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 Week of May 25 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$70.63
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 Week of May 18 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.05
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.76
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$40.56
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.57
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$20.28
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.96
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$13.14
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$34.38
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.88
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$18.48
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.37
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Spread: Knicks (-17.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.39
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+302.2%+$72.99
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.56
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.58
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+139.2%+$62.86
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+139.2%+$23.53
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.62
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.59
All 22 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 187.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$26.76
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.88
Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 185.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.43
Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 185.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$3.82
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.66
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 172.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$22.78
Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 159.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$17.23
Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
PortlandFire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 174.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+135.7%+$50.26
PortlandFire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 175.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.68
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 167.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.39
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.99
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 166.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+111.2%+$24.4
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22.45
Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 17 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.5M committed to the TownSquare public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.29
Over $25M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Over $1.25M committed to the TownSquare public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$19.77
Over $6M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+58%+$7.05
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.87
Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.39
Over $18M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$35.12
Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.6
Over $12M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$30.45
Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$47.43
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $11.2B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.93
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $11B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+231.6%+$40.16
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.5
Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $300M?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$28.43
Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $275M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.51
Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $22.5B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+99.4%+$53
Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $23.5B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.09
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.85
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+53.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)backed Querétaro FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.54
Cruzeiro EC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tobyl FK win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.