TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Angelsof Los Angeles Angels, Detroit Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,586
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,760

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,586 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers52c4,010$2,085 inLost-$2,085.28,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Los Angeles Angels48c4,000$1,920 inWon+$2,08060350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Detroit Tigers59c1,655$972 inLost-$972.262,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Angels30c1,422$427 inWon+$995.369,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea8…25f9backed Los Angeles Angels38c1,228$467 inWon+$761.641833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Angels44c1,127$496 inWon+$631.288,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers80c1,059$846 inLost-$845.7912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Angels69c500$345 inWon+$1555,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Detroit Tigers52c490.38$255 inLost-$2551,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Detroit Tigers52c490.38$255 inLost-$2551,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Los Angeles Angels29c344.83$100 inWon+$244.8312128.1%34 W · 87 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers71c341.14$241 inLost-$241.210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc185…7020backed Los Angeles Angels13c120.66$16 inWon+$104.43860.5%23 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+41%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Los Angeles Angels35c89$31 inWon+$57.851,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Los Angeles Angels60c59.37$36 inWon+$23.8227652.9%146 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc775…c180backed Detroit Tigers71c58.84$42 inLost-$41.74833.3%16 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Detroit Tigers38c46.79$18 inLost-$17.8641836.4%152 W · 266 L-31.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x260b…aa9ebacked Los Angeles Angels28c41.94$12 inWon+$30.1412555.2%69 W · 56 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Detroit Tigers53c20.05$11 inLost-$10.6372655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.