MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e74c65b45e9c20bce14c23b54ce4d45c1b401b617d8e57137cd2b963de5d7ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 46c | 25,230$11,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,605.67 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 54c | 22,222$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,222.11 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 46c | 10,571$4,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,862.78 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Over | 54c | 6,852$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.92 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 50c | 2,039$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.34 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 2,008$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.87 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,325$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.72 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 49c | 997.41$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.74 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 910.2$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.72 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8218…86a7backed Under | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…1d43backed Over | 50c | 699.13$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 53c | 661$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.67 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Over | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 54c | 422.92$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.25 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 50c | 405$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 47c | 404.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.12 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0717…835ebacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 47c | 395.87$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.17 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 349.82$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.24 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 46c | 343$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.78 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 274$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a24…a0fdbacked Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 52c | 212.82$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 54c | 211.59$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Under | 46c | 204.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 189.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.75 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 48c | 175$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 47c | 154.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 137$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…3927backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 25c | 106$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…4bb5backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 70c | 89.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Over | 54c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 52c | 83.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 30c | 75.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 54c | 61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 55c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 51.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…5dd2backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 184 | 58.2%107 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 41.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 54c | 40.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 52c | 38.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…a5d4backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…c459backed Under | 48c | 30.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 42c | 24.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 55c | 20.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 320 | 54.1%173 W · 147 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 78c | 15.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 68c | 15.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 208 | 52.9%110 W · 98 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit TigersLos Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 13.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 15.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.